NHL · resolved market

Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc740a23d69d927e4813c3f67aa37a0d4585c000da07e0e139d2f6f91bacb213

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Red Wingsof Red Wings, Flames
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $338,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Flames	62c	295,787$182,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182,857.91	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings	38c	200,000$76,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124,000	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings	38c	69,756$26,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,930.55	1,190	50.7%603 W · 587 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Flames	61c	13,000$7,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,912.62	260	58.8%153 W · 107 L	+17.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Red Wings	39c	9,000$3,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,490	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Red Wings	39c	8,200$3,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,002	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Red Wings	40c	3,739$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,262.22	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Red Wings	38c	3,504$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,172.22	403	51.9%209 W · 194 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings	39c	2,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220	270	48.1%130 W · 140 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c0…e8d1backed Red Wings	41c	1,555$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.54	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames	61c	1,350$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.46	916	53.9%494 W · 422 L	+39.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Red Wings	39c	1,308$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.78	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flames	55c	1,255$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.29	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flames	57c	1,027$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.35	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Flames	59c	1,005$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.88	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Red Wings	41c	1,000$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Red Wings	39c	1,000$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Red Wings	43c	999.99$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Red Wings	54c	922.36$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.36	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Red Wings	38c	921$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.02	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Red Wings	40c	857.87$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.72	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Red Wings	38c	855.78$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.58	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flames	61c	681$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.32	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Red Wings	39c	673$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.53	265	51.3%136 W · 129 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Red Wings	40c	650$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Flames	60c	624.5$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.09	303	48.8%148 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Red Wings	39c	611.66$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.6	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Red Wings	39c	584.62$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.62	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Red Wings	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flames	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	623	46.9%292 W · 331 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Red Wings	20c	489$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.8	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Red Wings	42c	387.41$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.41	321	55.5%178 W · 143 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Red Wings	44c	366.61$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.61	331	54.1%179 W · 152 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Red Wings	39c	344.59$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211	115	37.4%43 W · 72 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20a6…0b06backed Red Wings	40c	339.07$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.44	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Red Wings	39c	300$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183	174	58%101 W · 73 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Red Wings	39c	300$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe93…3638backed Red Wings	38c	299.98$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.99	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…9ae9backed Red Wings	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75c…e826backed Red Wings	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Flames	62c	243.26$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	198	44.9%89 W · 109 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Flames	57c	227$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.85	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Red Wings	22c	225.4$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.4	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Red Wings	42c	213.27$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.27	247	49%121 W · 126 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Red Wings	39c	210$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.1	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Red Wings	42c	209.95$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.95	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Red Wings	43c	206.57$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.57	290	52.4%152 W · 138 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Red Wings	42c	205.42$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.42	243	52.3%127 W · 116 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings	29c	200.9$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.98	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Red Wings	41c	200.5$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.29	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Red Wings	39c	200$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	368	52.2%192 W · 176 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Red Wings	45c	197.82$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.27	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Red Wings	39c	194.87$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.87	490	53.7%263 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Red Wings	39c	194.87$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.87	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Flames	52c	194$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.52	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Red Wings	39c	192.31$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.31	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Red Wings	38c	187.09$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	823	53.1%437 W · 386 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18ff…e90ebacked Flames	60c	175.63$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.38	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Red Wings	39c	174.97$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.73	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Red Wings	39c	164.1$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.1	481	57.2%275 W · 206 L	+21.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2e…0433backed Flames	60c	163.44$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.06	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Red Wings	39c	161.03$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.23	114	50%57 W · 57 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flames	35c	138.42$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Red Wings	12c	137$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.56	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Red Wings	39c	131.59$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.27	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Flames	62c	129.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	811	57.2%464 W · 347 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Red Wings	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	285	50.2%143 W · 142 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Flames	62c	112.9$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Red Wings	39c	112.68$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.73	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Flames	62c	109.68$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	215	60.9%131 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Red Wings	39c	109.21$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.62	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Red Wings	39c	109.18$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.06	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Flames	55c	105.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.89	272	50%136 W · 136 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Red Wings	39c	105$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.05	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Red Wings	39c	102.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-5.3wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Red Wings	39c	102.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Flames	60c	96$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Red Wings	40c	95.92$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.55	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Red Wings	39c	94.68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.75	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Flames	26c	94.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Red Wings	40c	87.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	432	56.5%244 W · 188 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flames	62c	82.26$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	542	60.3%327 W · 215 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Flames	61c	81.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	786	51.8%407 W · 379 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Red Wings	39c	80.49$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.1	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Red Wings	39c	77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.97	95	63.2%60 W · 35 L	+9.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Red Wings	39c	77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.97	780	38.5%300 W · 480 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Red Wings	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b05…c7febacked Red Wings	40c	75.05$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.05	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Flames	56c	73.83$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.62	384	47.4%182 W · 202 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Red Wings	41c	73.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked Red Wings	42c	71.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Flames	53c	64.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.33	513	43.3%222 W · 291 L	-21.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Red Wings	40c	63.16$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.03	136	58.1%79 W · 57 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Red Wings	40c	62.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Red Wings	40c	56.91$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	470	24%113 W · 357 L	-44.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Red Wings	39c	56.31$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.35	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Red Wings	40c	55$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Red Wings	39c	52.69$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.14	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Red Wings	53c	50.94$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	333	63.7%212 W · 121 L	+44.3wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event