TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5dd8…f9e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT8354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$86.43
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$10.97
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.75
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$88.11
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.39
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$3.58
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$13.18
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$6.8
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+84%+$33.46
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$7.21
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$65.01
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$118.87
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$16.3
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$10.15
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$26.79
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$97.77
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT6258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.45
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$76.38
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$72.72
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$43.07
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.64
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$313.14
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$297.66
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.92
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.05
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$66.21
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$67.85
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.95
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.39
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.83
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$197.66
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$219.07
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$11.87
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$32.79
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$14.04
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-3.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Split: Matej Dodig vs Christian Langmobacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$13.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.