TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,087,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,087,636 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes58c236,406$137,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,318.0719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins42c104,092$43,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,700.281,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Penguins42c68,794$28,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,865.7948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hurricanes58c43,086$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,085.752564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Penguins42c40,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,8002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins42c39,387$16,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,553.211,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hurricanes62c31,406$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,005.4640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Penguins29c19,792$5,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,738.7548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins42c14,928$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins39c14,583$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.0527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Penguins42c13,409$5,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,631.772,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins43c13,116$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.0861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins42c11,000$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6201,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes75c8,758$6,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.8389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Penguins42c6,601$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.352951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins43c5,830$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.6937754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Penguins5c5,645$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.671010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hurricanes57c5,394$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.5721755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins42c5,150$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.0159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes58c5,062$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.1141842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes57c4,994$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.489547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hurricanes59c4,915$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.3940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4e…44b3backed Penguins2c4,410$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes58c4,400$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84825552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Penguins41c4,189$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.431,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Penguins42c4,056$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.5113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes57c3,495$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.031,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes58c3,478$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.5985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hurricanes58c3,380$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.2445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Hurricanes57c3,323$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.0430552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes75c3,176$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.611,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Penguins42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins43c2,880$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.4360249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins9c2,782$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Penguins43c2,550$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.9927850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Penguins43c2,249$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9676946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hurricanes56c2,180$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.7436648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Penguins41c2,064$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.46262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3268…fb55backed Hurricanes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…4ef1backed Penguins42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7adb…17abbacked Penguins42c1,990$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de3…9470backed Hurricanes58c1,990$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf4…938bbacked Hurricanes58c1,990$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.87100%7 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x326a…c254backed Penguins42c1,990$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x311e…ee43backed Hurricanes58c1,980$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa517…c3c7backed Penguins42c1,980$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041e…e763backed Hurricanes58c1,975$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb343…5a75backed Penguins42c1,975$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba3…5a84backed Penguins42c1,975$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75a…96f8backed Hurricanes58c1,975$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad21…86d0backed Penguins42c1,975$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7c…a295backed Hurricanes58c1,975$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ca…6088backed Hurricanes58c1,975$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9de0backed Penguins42c1,975$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5d…a45dbacked Hurricanes58c1,965$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+75.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc82…233cbacked Penguins42c1,965$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef7…d6abbacked Penguins42c1,965$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3a…90e0backed Hurricanes58c1,965$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…e665backed Hurricanes58c1,960$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67de…2131backed Hurricanes58c1,960$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0b…5553backed Penguins42c1,960$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e8…24e9backed Penguins42c1,960$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d8…0eaabacked Penguins42c1,955$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc095…5844backed Hurricanes58c1,955$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf02…cc4bbacked Penguins42c1,950$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4182…f93cbacked Hurricanes58c1,950$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…aeb8backed Hurricanes58c1,945$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…fa4fbacked Hurricanes58c1,945$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+75.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab6…e054backed Penguins42c1,945$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0f…b733backed Penguins42c1,945$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd400…52c5backed Hurricanes58c1,940$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae3e…2344backed Penguins42c1,940$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2225…955bbacked Hurricanes58c1,940$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdc…1097backed Penguins42c1,940$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72f5…64d9backed Hurricanes58c1,935$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3117…cb1ebacked Penguins42c1,935$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…c03fbacked Penguins42c1,935$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846f…acd6backed Hurricanes58c1,928$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9041…e4b2backed Penguins42c1,920$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3efb…ec2ebacked Hurricanes58c1,920$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…eb38backed Penguins42c1,920$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x139e…b1abbacked Hurricanes58c1,920$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Hurricanes58c1,914$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.883253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdc…8250backed Hurricanes58c1,910$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b05…98a1backed Penguins42c1,910$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2feb…a73dbacked Hurricanes58c1,910$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4ef…da19backed Penguins42c1,910$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8a…7adbbacked Penguins42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.11020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd783…4a54backed Penguins42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176b…8878backed Penguins42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffd…e8fdbacked Hurricanes58c1,905$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…69a8backed Hurricanes58c1,905$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59fa…b63bbacked Hurricanes58c1,905$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd97…267ebacked Penguins42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…f301backed Penguins42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.