TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,467 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over53c47,091$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under47c33,966$15,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,001.7314650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under47c19,965$9,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,581.431,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over53c10,157$5,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,383.2136648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c10,027$4,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.691,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Over53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7709752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Under49c6,100$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b90…0880backed Over51c5,900$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c4,085$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.3185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over50c2,679$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.425552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over51c2,430$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.81,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,892$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.112,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over59c1,604$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.036550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,400$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bd…4c63backed Under50c1,384$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under49c1,286$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.716346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under47c1,263$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.1421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over46c1,041$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8510438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.242847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Over53c940.89$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.677244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over51c879.99$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over52c859.82$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1162346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c826.19$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.151,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under49c775.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.516550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c585$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3a…e6a3backed Under49c540$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over45c516.86$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5230348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under49c502$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0432650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d1…18a1backed Over52c500.01$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under49c488.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over53c433.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Under49c369$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under61c355.93$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.227363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c354.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.552,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under46c293.44$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0131828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1306453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a08…4badbacked Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under46c240.08$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4222151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…1d1ebacked Under48c223.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.212548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Under51c216$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.942161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over53c209$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7734752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7144…790fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.342152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda6…e5f3backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd0…eca1backed Under49c199$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over53c199$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.477648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2063…46ddbacked Over51c198.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x144a…aaf1backed Over51c196.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…1aa7backed Under49c196$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35bd…cd69backed Under49c195$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fc…71fcbacked Over51c193.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6eb…4c0bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dc67backed Under49c191$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.762447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2789…b181backed Over51c189.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3df…ae38backed Over51c184.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c184.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.322,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x763d…5ef2backed Under49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a29…4cbfbacked Over51c179.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6781…50a2backed Under49c179$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…726abacked Over51c178.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…c7a1backed Under49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c3…0527backed Under49c175.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c175.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5133950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf719…1576backed Under49c174$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c173.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2542948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac8…f7e8backed Over51c172.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf925…e934backed Over51c172.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab98…6b77backed Under49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…63eabacked Under49c169$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b1…6c14backed Over51c168.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under65c168$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.61,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4885…3879backed Over51c163.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Under49c163.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a9…fc0bbacked Over51c163.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd99…d7dcbacked Over51c162.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe659…967ebacked Under49c161$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcabb…5f3bbacked Under49c161$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1770…254dbacked Over51c160.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.88555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…67b7backed Under49c159$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…f954backed Under49c158$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8546…22f8backed Under49c158$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b0…227abacked Over51c156.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd816…5133backed Under49c156$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3633…5bdebacked Over51c155.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c23…37a3backed Under49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d62…eee0backed Under49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe32…83d3backed Over51c153.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…f9c5backed Under49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad62…e4a2backed Over51c152.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d87…eadcbacked Over51c151.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d9…2e77backed Over51c151.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d72…73d3backed Over51c151.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e75…a9febacked Over51c150.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c150.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5838849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.