NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f20d5a3a07192df9fbd9927474fd6d67fe7cf94e14d49975bbb665f7b624b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Devils, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $898,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $898,612 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Devils | 47c | 550,520$256,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256,586.14 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 56c | 133,366$74,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,063.26 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 54c | 109,647$59,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,437.58 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000.16 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Capitals | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,250 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 64c | 70,057$44,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,204.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 53c | 62,159$32,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,214.62 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Devils | 26c | 40,893$10,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,556.37 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Capitals | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Capitals | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Capitals | 53c | 19,188$10,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,018.37 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 53c | 18,888$10,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,877.36 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Devils | 47c | 16,539$7,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700.61 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Capitals | 58c | 14,730$8,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.88 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 54c | 12,547$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 23c | 11,883$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.02 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 47c | 11,098$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.69 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 46c | 7,989$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Devils | 46c | 7,520$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.19 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Devils | 45c | 7,322$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.72 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 54c | 7,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 54c | 6,719$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.61 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Devils | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Capitals | 55c | 5,944$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 55c | 5,909$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.45 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Devils | 0c | 5,585$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Devils | 45c | 5,174$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.35 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Capitals | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Capitals | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Devils | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 45c | 4,870$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.34 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Devils | 47c | 4,566$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.23 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Devils | 23c | 4,430$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.9 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Devils | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Devils | 46c | 3,716$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Devils | 14c | 3,701$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.92 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 56c | 3,588$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.38 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Devils | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Devils | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Capitals | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Capitals | 54c | 2,826$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Devils | 15c | 2,750$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.49 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Devils | 46c | 2,569$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.61 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Devils | 45c | 2,480$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Capitals | 79c | 2,418$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210b…29b5backed Capitals | 55c | 2,388$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Capitals | 55c | 2,343$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.23 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 54c | 2,311$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.06 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Capitals | 78c | 2,280$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.08 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Devils | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 78c | 2,084$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd00backed Devils | 2c | 2,046$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,987$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.37 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 54c | 1,878$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.04 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Capitals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Devils | 26c | 1,830$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.23 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Devils | 45c | 1,799$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.81 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Capitals | 78c | 1,733$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked Capitals | 80c | 1,515$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 44c | 1,485$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.6 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 54c | 1,400$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 54c | 1,318$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.28 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 27c | 1,237$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Capitals | 77c | 1,215$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.08 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…a1f1backed Devils | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…6333backed Devils | 46c | 1,175$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Devils | 25c | 1,151$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Devils | 30c | 1,120$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Capitals | 77c | 1,039$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 25c | 1,001$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.88 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…9072backed Capitals | 55c | 981.2$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Capitals | 54c | 978.83$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.86 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Capitals | 79c | 941$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Capitals | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Devils | 46c | 875$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…3803backed Devils | 46c | 800.5$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Devils | 24c | 800.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Capitals | 54c | 781.48$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…3e65backed Capitals | 55c | 770$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Capitals | 54c | 746$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Devils | 34c | 723$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Devils | 45c | 720$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 54c | 718.05$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Capitals | 54c | 711.11$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…a50dbacked Devils | 46c | 710$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…3e61backed Capitals | 55c | 710$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 73c | 705.49$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Capitals | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Devils | 46c | 670$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 68c | 663.75$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…d897backed Devils | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Capitalsthis page
- Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.