TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,114 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under43c82,429$35,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,764.35349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c26,756$15,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,606.521,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c20,147$12,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,176.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c9,827$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.6533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under44c8,974$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,948.775550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under42c8,184$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.536839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c7,987$4,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.5120544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over58c6,533$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.4134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over57c5,057$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.512161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c5,017$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.4498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over58c3,419$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.122646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3206048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over58c2,425$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.59137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under42c2,198$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.16659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c1,381$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.799054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under42c1,315$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.127255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over59c1,210$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.762152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under44c1,014$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.123141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over67c1,004$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.916357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Over58c892.33$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c714.68$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over58c695.43$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over57c694$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.427558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under21c647$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.84742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under17c610.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.491668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over57c523.79$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c505.7$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.178757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under44c449.18$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.361233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over56c445.97$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2111349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over58c427.36$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over58c410.11$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.242263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over56c406.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over57c400.09$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under42c399.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c363.77$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4138547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over57c345$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.351566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Over57c324.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0870…1e49backed Under44c320.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.995358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c272.53$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7414748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over58c256.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c253.31$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.457646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under42c242.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.74548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over59c229.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.031656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c229.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5642347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under42c215.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7137250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c215.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over59c198.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3111127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over58c192.43$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9515259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over58c170.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over59c168.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over57c160.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under42c152.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.082650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over58c148.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.466358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c1c…db37backed Under43c138.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over57c137.89$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.294252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over56c136.87$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.983953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over57c136.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6410951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under44c135.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.421838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked Under44c133.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Over73c131.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over58c131.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.271118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.64546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c42…213bbacked Under42c114.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over59c111.05$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.532250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c109.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under42c102.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…e65dbacked Under28c100.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over58c99.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Over58c99.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over58c98.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.22552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Under43c94.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over58c90.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over57c86.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf2…9959backed Over58c85.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over59c84.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.457657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over57c83.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over56c78.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.353743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8531…5eccbacked Over57c77.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over72c73.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c38…13b1backed Under41c73.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over58c71.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over79c69.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over58c68.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7210566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d0…9bc4backed Under44c67.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over58c67.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over57c61.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under23c59.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under41c57.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under44c56.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.784146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0039…602fbacked Under36c55.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0425backed Over58c54.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over58c51.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over58c51.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.548744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Over59c45.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.