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Serie A · resolved market

Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Como 1907of Como 1907, Pisa SC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,593 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Pisa SC49c12,111$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,896.1834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Como 190752c11,059$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.5433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Pisa SC46c9,144$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206.045349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Pisa SC46c8,242$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed Pisa SC46c6,716$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9726…892ebacked Pisa SC46c6,230$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Pisa SC46c4,296$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Como 190754c4,214$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Como 190759c4,020$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.532,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Como 190754c3,954$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.779137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Pisa SC34c2,726$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Como 190754c2,268$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Como 190754c2,163$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed Como 190754c2,099$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f69…1ffebacked Como 190754c2,090$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Como 190754c2,082$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Como 190754c2,071$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Como 190754c2,066$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Como 190754c2,062$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked Como 190754c2,007$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e2…2c81backed Como 190754c1,814$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Pisa SC46c1,736$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.32065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Pisa SC50c1,586$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pisa SC46c1,121$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7799944.7%447 W · 552 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Como 190755c1,081$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.663167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pisa SC47c1,053$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Como 190754c991.31$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4566043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Pisa SC29c961.97$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.464742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Como 190753c925.62$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Como 190755c901.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Como 190755c901.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.555933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Como 190755c901.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.553444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Como 190754c793.04$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.84445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Como 190765c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.234443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Como 190754c735.66$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Como 190752c693.88$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.067657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Como 190754c607.63$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5116526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Como 190753c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Como 190750c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+93.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Pisa SC48c375.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.218743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Como 190779c330.93$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.452,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Pisa SC44c312.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.611136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Como 190756c291.86$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.295939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Como 190752c257.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.048940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Como 190754c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11547447.9%227 W · 247 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Pisa SC47c198.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1816942.6%72 W · 97 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Como 190756c177.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.898041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Pisa SC46c152.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.223243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Como 190757c130.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.417954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Como 190750c126.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Como 190753c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Como 190750c118.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4813456%75 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Como 190749c113$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Como 190754c110.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Como 190747c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Como 190774c104.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9491243.3%395 W · 517 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Como 190754c99.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.65364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Como 190754c99.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.634853.7%187 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Pisa SC51c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.553748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Como 190751c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.621338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Como 190754c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Como 190754c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2226944.6%120 W · 149 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Pisa SC47c84.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Como 190752c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Como 190753c74.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Pisa SC45c74.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.484548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Como 190754c73.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7819654.6%107 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pisa SC48c72.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6113447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Como 190756c70.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1413366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Como 190751c69.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.294247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Como 190751c69.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Como 190752c69.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.319257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Como 190753c68.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa747…b089backed Como 190755c68.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+152.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Pisa SC44c67.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.742133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Como 190752c66.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.034748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Pisa SC55c66.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Como 190765c59.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.133855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Como 190755c54.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.332055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pisa SC43c50.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6716219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pisa SC46c45.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.987252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Pisa SC46c45.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Como 190755c45.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.285048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Como 190748c41.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Como 190751c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0512052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Como 190752c38.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Como 190754c37.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0511547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Como 190755c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Como 190755c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Como 190755c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.228051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Como 190751c34.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Como 190760c33.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Pisa SC47c29.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Pisa SC47c29.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-77.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Como 190750c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.877064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pisa SC46c27.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8326140.2%105 W · 156 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Como 190754c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.673847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Como 190754c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.679051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Como 190755c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Como 190755c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.173043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.