Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e99ef4f216f7b302c183fc6d97c99300f59bf189e2794119feaaa4da0cdb1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 2,844$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 2,086$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.09 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 19c | 1,912$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.71 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 57c | 1,726$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 19c | 1,193$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.41 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 18c | 1,157$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.88 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 827.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.07 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 71c | 635.35$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 567.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.96 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 7c | 399.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 302.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 72c | 275.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 262.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 80c | 251.37$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…94dabacked Under | 80c | 243.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…65aabacked Over | 20c | 241.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 221.43$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.43 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 19c | 183.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 73c | 114.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…0a1cbacked Under | 77c | 112.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 19c | 107.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 19c | 99.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 71c | 88.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…c755backed Under | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 67.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 67.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Under | 74c | 53.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 39c | 50.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Under | 63c | 46.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Under | 69c | 44.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 65c | 26.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 53c | 23.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…5160backed Under | 72c | 16.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.