TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,043 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under66c45,794$30,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,372.045349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c14,499$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,892.182,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c12,928$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,340.981,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over34c10,765$3,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.4233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under65c7,400$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.725550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over42c3,153$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.167552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over50c2,002$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.662259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under66c1,005$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2114249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over53c999.99$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4752123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c994.87$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.6713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over48c992.5$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.157424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over34c984$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.4437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under48c934.59$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over35c926.57$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.067646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over36c888.84$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8610940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over34c729.69$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.663444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over37c710.98$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.143033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over35c700$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4557558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c664.55$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over75c651.37$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over71c620.5$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.949576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under52c582.81$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over34c500$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Over35c489.84$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.682065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under58c487.75$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over35c355.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under49c354.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.474254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under37c317.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.439440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over66c262.93$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under43c230.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over80c219$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over35c217.11$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.122263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over71c210.88$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.967262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over35c207.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9719542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c201.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.893447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over34c187.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Over35c179.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over57c173.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.794936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Over34c164.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under10c164.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over65c152.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.526357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over38c136.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.491656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over75c132.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.11560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c124.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over36c123.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7411136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c119.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Over38c110.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd77…d379backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over36c99.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8511127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ea…296dbacked Over66c99.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over35c99.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Under52c97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over66c94.8$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over39c93.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3623244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under19c91.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under55c90.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over75c89.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under65c86.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.114742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Under46c86.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.283748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under64c74.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under66c74.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.144557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over69c72.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Over35c69.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.073063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over34c66.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.864548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over77c64.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e65dbacked Under47c59.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under67c55.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over34c55.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.689137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over36c55.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over56c53.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.371747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over34c52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over42c51.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.034047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over34c49.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7411255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over36c49.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.746358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c48.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0219353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over74c45.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Under57c45.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c44.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4231958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under51c42.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8310759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under55c42.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.452254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over50c41.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under48c41.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8312946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Under62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…2c78backed Over57c39.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over50c39.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.835354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over35c38.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1411150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over35c36.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.958744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3e…ca63backed Over56c35.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over76c34.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.284170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over33c33.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8531…5eccbacked Over64c30.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9279…ed18backed Over50c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under67c29.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.856155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.