TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1160…b054

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 63 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.75
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.66
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.98
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+198.2%+$50.55
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$131.53
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.96
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$580.36
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.21
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.16
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.49
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.97
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$38.21
Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.16
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+136.4%+$101.04
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.4
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.7%+$26.95
All 25 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$50.1
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.49
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$152.32
FC Seoul vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
FC Seoul vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$151.06
FC Seoul vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$88.8
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.63
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.22
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$98.18
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$22.57
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$22.04
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$15.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+74.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$43.17
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.3
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.08
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$23.43
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.75
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.17
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.06
Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.7
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.85
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.13
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+71%+$63.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.