La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c63512cb704c786d899a6bfe2cb059f1fd5d894b394d240d6e751b6f21d1039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 13,423$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.72 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 8,638$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 6,999$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.69 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +187.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 73c | 2,862$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.02 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,669$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 49c | 1,608$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.96 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 36c | 1,250$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.21 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 996.96$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.37 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 839$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.89 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 811.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 795.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.27 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 50c | 760$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.66 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 590.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 49c | 437$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 27c | 292.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 269.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 51c | 242.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 224.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 52c | 208.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 200.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 50c | 193.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 52c | 185.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 53c | 183.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 43c | 138.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 49c | 99.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 71c | 94.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 49c | 83.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 58c | 77.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 49c | 75.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 73c | 74.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 72.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…3ff3backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 25c | 57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 52c | 55.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 51.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 49c | 48.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 51c | 43.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 42.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 57c | 40.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 36.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 50c | 35.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Over | 49c | 32.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Over | 71c | 31.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 45c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.