TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08ba…2a30backed Under79c2,488$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.524663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,660$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.46412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over66c1,264$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.353764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under52c1,260$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over25c1,249$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.0111736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under45c1,075$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.752958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under8c940.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under76c802.27$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.666460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over25c741.22$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2039…acddbacked Over63c683.33$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.83580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over55c675$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c551.77$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.383,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over27c480$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+187.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under34c462.03$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.391,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1925759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over34c383$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7820945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over21c357.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1434050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over57c347.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.917850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c309.68$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.721,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Over52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under8c299.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under8c299.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1211929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over48c262.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.55547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over25c250$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over53c228.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over80c226.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2811566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Under69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c34…dfafbacked Over27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c176.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.274,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.210634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over53c162.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over58c160.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2114850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c155$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.89262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over65c154.94$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.232245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under52c149.77$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8814028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.348236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under74c142.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c100.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.591,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Over27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over25c94.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2611354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over64c94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over65c89.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.337553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over33c84.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1316865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over27c77.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.781338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Under66c70.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.056650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5724757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over47c65.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.746645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d25…3e17backed Over63c64.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over50c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.598958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7819258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over26c60.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under65c59.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.143467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over27c59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9814259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over37c53.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.845152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb8…54bbbacked Over30c51.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over34c45.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2812045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.328549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under63c36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6619247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over40c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5411855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under73c23.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1731745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over65c21.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under73c15.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.629570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.