TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c23,545$10,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,662.524,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over52c8,983$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.342035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over44c4,248$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.43727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Over75c3,499$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over75c2,103$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.663764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,580$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.061,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Under58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over48c1,386$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c1,050$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.53,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c1,012$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.082,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0d…c0e0backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under25c668$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Under2c522.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c453$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under26c440$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.42020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2039…acddbacked Over67c434.85$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over51c388.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7111736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over44c379.55$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5537829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under36c340$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.43447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Over51c315$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c199.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.995056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over74c199.97$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.999571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over42c197.77$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7110634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under33c179.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9611354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c176.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8834050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over54c174.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.43467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.24744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab60…ac53backed Over58c146.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over54c132.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over76c131.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6719258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c129.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.491,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over56c123$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5215246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over44c111.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.486349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c110.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c89.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1111741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Under45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Over73c79.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over61c78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4214259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c77.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2912152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c74.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over74c74.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over74c67.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5732145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7917455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under30c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2819247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under26c57.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.927653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over67c51.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.838075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under26c50.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0714342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1913760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under48c46.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2927850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+54.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c44.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under26c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xff6e…5860backed Under28c43.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over66c35.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.066752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over72c31.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9211448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Over73c30.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over75c30.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.733177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.039071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over75c26.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6722157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672592%23 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+30.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.674283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65c5…0ec9backed Under58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.752846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5095…bc92backed Over49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Over74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.611855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over64c18.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over74c16.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over73c15.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.39570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1786…6974backed Over68c15.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8574…61f9backed Over74c15.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.