TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5500…da1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+324.6%+$71.54
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.3
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.51
Libema Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Greet Minnenbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhovabacked Darya Astakhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.4
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.61
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.34
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.02
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samsonbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.57
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$42.65
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$23.18
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$222.59
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.53
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$31.63
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.95
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.87
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.33
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$38.17
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Portugal vs. Chile: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Mexico vs. Serbia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$21.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$30.55
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+355.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$24.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$29.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+95%+$9.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$60.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.