Asian League · resolved market
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9dc99d6b17358007b9cb3e1fa8b6afd0cf774b9ba80f9b83da647505e4a4b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 56c | 25,125$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,125.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 8,689$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.9 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 8,070$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.02 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 51c | 6,020$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.62 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 5,949$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.18 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 74c | 2,830$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.21 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 2,791$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.96 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 2,545$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.92 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 29c | 2,496$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 1,774$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.67 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 1,367$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.83 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 36c | 1,330$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 1,265$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.2 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 43c | 1,123$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.14 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.08 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,072$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.75 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 80c | 1,004$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 930.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.41 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…795fbacked Yes | 10c | 700$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 43c | 604.26$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.93 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 50c | 601.4$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 37c | 540.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 492$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 61c | 479.08$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 464.22$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.45 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 449$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 42c | 418.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 59c | 391.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.92 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Yes | 55c | 351.93$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 48c | 342$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 59c | 310.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 48c | 291.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 290$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 289.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Yes | 63c | 267.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 23c | 262.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 256.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620f…4288backed No | 80c | 250.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Yes | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 49c | 238.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 57c | 236.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed No | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 202.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 200.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 197.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…0312backed No | 51c | 196.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 52c | 194.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…5136backed Yes | 52c | 192.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 38c | 189.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 45c | 188.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…467abacked Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 42c | 165.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 68c | 162.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 46c | 148.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 57c | 142.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 21c | 141.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 45c | 140.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 139.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 19c | 136.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed No | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 129.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes | 80c | 125.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…77babacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 45c | 124.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 49c | 119.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 46c | 114.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 66c | 107.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.