TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No68c2,736$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.692,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes41c2,326$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9497042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes25c1,634$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.524323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c1,490$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.782,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c1,460$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.695,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes25c806.52$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6314848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes47c800$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No53c758.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.318952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes54c556.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes50c501.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c460.87$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes73c430.61$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2314745.6%67 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes67c399.98$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.932433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6654…2f15backed Yes68c394.19$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No42c386.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No46c356.31$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6416858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes33c348.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae5…f683backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No55c295.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9211931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes24c270.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…77babacked Yes75c267.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006418.8%12 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes46c247.34$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.551,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes57c212.91$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.111,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No76c200.7$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6213563.7%86 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes53c189.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9636142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes58c172.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.340448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No41c163.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2127639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked No61c150.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c148.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9973850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No75c146.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5916856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes33c133.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.052334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c133.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.671,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c115.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No51c91.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.472588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+61.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No63c88.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.65350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yes64c86.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.821764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Yes61c82.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c81.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6572044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No41c81.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3315240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No52c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6223052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes43c79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9213655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes17c78.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c75.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes24c73.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.414259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No44c73.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6558243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No46c67.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.157574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc060…8956backed Yes75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No75c65.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3416252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c64.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211b…1c13backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked No32c62.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes49c61.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.979756.7%55 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes49c54.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.924447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes77c52.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4726148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c52.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0592235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c50.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5689955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f670backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd0…23e3backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311650%58 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Yes52c42.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes50c41.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5824348.6%118 W · 125 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No35c40.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2546422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes67c40.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106435.9%23 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41dd…6c94backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…b9debacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No67c38.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.692638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f78…c5bdbacked Yes26c38.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed No48c36.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226442.2%27 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No41c35.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.196624.2%16 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49859.2%58 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No75c28.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1640156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6724656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154734%16 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed No52c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes57c23.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3116759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No74c23.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.01955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No73c16.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.493357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.