TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over46c3,240$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over38c1,188$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8820245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over19c1,037$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c1,022$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.282,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c1,018$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.681,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under62c959.12$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over33c757.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under67c722.31$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3625537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c712.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c644.72$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under51c546.11$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over15c472.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c466.49$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Over21c452.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Over25c321.59$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.911230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Over38c319.63$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c304.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9629232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under16c275.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0113059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over42c258.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under55c257.76$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9912862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over20c253.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c249.39$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.412,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under48c246.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.619850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under72c244.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…a6c6backed Under50c222.86$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.431827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under64c202.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.810441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Under41c194.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c192.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615151%77 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over40c179.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.728646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over33c164.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under19c158.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4923645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over25c157.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over26c153.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9924840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under50c150.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2639752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over34c148.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over28c142.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.87245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under59c139.37$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.098658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over19c133.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.418750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over24c126.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302524%6 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under76c118.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3822421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over37c110.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3413844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under52c108$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.761,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…4db1backed Over20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over52c104.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.67953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.67550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb1c…3d69backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a95…23cfbacked Under34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick32cpaid+47.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over28c98.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.577237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under64c95.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3550833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4c…67e4backed Over34c88.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under65c87.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1790840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Over20c84.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9150%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Over19c84.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under63c79.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.022,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over22c71.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under63c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5212252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under77c61.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7006…8336backed Over33c60.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over37c58.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…7bb3backed Over41c56.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.292339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under26c56.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.728817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4979…a668backed Over44c53.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over26c53.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over20c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6f92…4198backed Under78c51.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.92,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4c…927abacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under62c48.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.144030%12 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over32c46.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1219356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.222052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c41.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.418649.5%92 W · 94 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Under49c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.412848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under74c35.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2614766%97 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Over44c34.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca25…dcfabacked Over32c33.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Under63c33.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.332138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1611841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over45c31.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.997729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.460752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb447…a929backed Under63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.17652.6%40 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x557a…9b21backed Over50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa636…dfe9backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over51c29.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5215059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8493…6f72backed Under76c26.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under53c25.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1920561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb4…f3a4backed Under71c25.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.395976.3%45 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.