TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Egyptof Brazil, Egypt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Egypt48c72,411$34,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,638.015957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Brazil53c53,689$28,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,583.6314248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil52c35,712$18,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,570.2918740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Brazil52c26,200$13,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,6243754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Egypt48c11,787$5,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,179.711,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Egypt48c9,500$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,94523949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Egypt48c7,805$3,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Egypt47c7,347$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.1174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Egypt45c4,588$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Brazil56c4,348$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.1411561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Egypt45c4,163$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.192,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Egypt43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4253060%18 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Brazil52c2,154$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12013843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Brazil55c2,145$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…1e7fbacked Egypt47c2,129$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Egypt50c2,054$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Brazil52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Egypt45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10040736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Brazil52c1,938$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.56825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Brazil51c1,932$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99115157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Egypt48c1,639$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.21,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Egypt57c1,422$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.6864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Egypt50c1,407$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Egypt41c1,382$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.3929030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Brazil53c1,378$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.785242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Egypt48c1,280$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.991,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Egypt48c1,012$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.883,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Brazil59c675.81$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.657339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Egypt46c624.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.491,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Egypt47c571$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Brazil53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Egypt50c551.25$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.491,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Egypt48c543$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.822,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Egypt48c543$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.822,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Brazil52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Egypt69c433.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.748235.4%29 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Egypt46c418.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Egypt51c415.46$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Egypt49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1619148.7%93 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil52c396.3$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.782,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Egypt49c385.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7111065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Brazil52c382.69$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19918040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Brazil52c379.83$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.514654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0285…938abacked Brazil60c343.03$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.741758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Brazil50c342.95$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.057949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Brazil52c338$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.542,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Egypt52c312.62$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Egypt52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14418738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Brazil48c293$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6410744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Brazil45c265$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6228326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Brazil39c257.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.415749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Brazil50c250.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Egypt73c216.31$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.242,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Egypt47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Brazil52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10412729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Brazil37c193.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.063240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Brazil52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Brazil52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…0284backed Brazil52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Brazil17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Brazil52c170.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.884348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6a…7e2cbacked Brazil38c162.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.614725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Egypt45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Egypt63c157.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.519939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Egypt49c143.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9310762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Egypt70c143.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.814639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Egypt50c119.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.551,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Brazil34c111.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.898058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Brazil37c108.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Egypt48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Brazil49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Brazil52c101.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5350450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Egypt47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Egypt50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed Brazil41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+181.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Brazil50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015446.8%72 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc445…19a9backed Brazil38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Brazil52c97.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.552339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Brazil52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Egypt46c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9146…6ab0backed Egypt49c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Egypt54c84.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Brazil52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.612437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a07…9dedbacked Brazil36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Egypt49c76.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Brazil38c73.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Brazil50c70.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Brazil52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Brazil56c65.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Brazil50c60.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017945.3%81 W · 98 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Egypt49c59.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Brazil51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Egypt47c58.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.011,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Egypt48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9939746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Egypt48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0870948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed Egypt49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Brazil53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.538960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee9…47e5backed Brazil47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52040%8 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Egypt48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Brazil51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.