TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f44…bc79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Stocks, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT6729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.78
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.52
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$77.51
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Junior Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Matt Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed John Yannis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.2
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jordan Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Linsbacked Lins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+291.6%+$558.5
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$51.56
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$83.7
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$113.77
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71.35
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+179.3%+$80.25
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$66.51
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+239%+$282
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$74.8
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Notre Dame vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43.67
UCLA vs. USCbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Northwestern vs. Illinoisbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Cincinnati vs. TCUbacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.38
Spread: Duke (-1.5)backed Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$52.17
UCF vs. BYUbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Kentucky vs. Louisvillebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$67.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$59.1
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.