UFC · resolved market
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a08af5c86b210b274ba6d58f5a21d0c7f7da450d80ed86c7c4d9a38259f369d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rouseyof Rousey, Carano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Carano | 17c | 50,127$8,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,471.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Carano | 8c | 24,478$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.06 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Carano | 19c | 17,367$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.88 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…c005backed Carano | 18c | 9,000$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…3ababacked Carano | 18c | 7,015$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Carano | 18c | 5,514$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Carano | 1c | 5,347$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Carano | 17c | 5,345$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…59a3backed Carano | 20c | 5,220$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Carano | 19c | 4,760$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Carano | 2c | 4,750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carano | 12c | 3,821$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rousey | 79c | 3,396$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.7 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Rousey | 80c | 3,130$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.05 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…4715backed Carano | 21c | 3,118$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…473abacked Carano | 18c | 2,712$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Carano | 7c | 2,698$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Carano | 21c | 2,436$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…693dbacked Carano | 4c | 2,356$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carano | 14c | 2,327$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…020dbacked Carano | 19c | 2,299$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Rousey | 80c | 2,291$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.04 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…e3cfbacked Carano | 18c | 2,161$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Carano | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed Rousey | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…829abacked Carano | 17c | 1,775$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +234.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Carano | 18c | 1,751$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…1a40backed Carano | 4c | 1,623$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Rousey | 78c | 1,515$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Carano | 20c | 1,509$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…8eddbacked Carano | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Carano | 18c | 1,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…9542backed Carano | 18c | 1,464$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…6c73backed Carano | 18c | 1,447$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d25…ba19backed Carano | 21c | 1,414$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Carano | 20c | 1,249$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…a92cbacked Carano | 19c | 1,247$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Carano | 18c | 1,165$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…10fabacked Carano | 17c | 1,163$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…a64cbacked Carano | 27c | 1,087$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Carano | 19c | 1,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…f824backed Carano | 21c | 1,060$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…f8a0backed Carano | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…08e9backed Carano | 22c | 1,048$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Carano | 16c | 1,035$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…c87dbacked Carano | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Rousey | 80c | 1,000$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Carano | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Carano | 19c | 999.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Carano | 20c | 988.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Carano | 20c | 978.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rousey | 79c | 956.82$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Carano | 18c | 949.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carano | 15c | 931.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…5c8dbacked Carano | 22c | 888.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…55acbacked Carano | 18c | 816.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…856dbacked Carano | 20c | 753.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Carano | 17c | 751.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013c…7634backed Carano | 19c | 717.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Carano | 21c | 715.59$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Carano | 20c | 710.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Carano | 5c | 666.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Carano | 19c | 660$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Carano | 17c | 654.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Carano | 20c | 635.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…b99bbacked Carano | 17c | 605.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rousey | 80c | 599.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Carano | 20c | 594.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…70a7backed Carano | 18c | 570.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Carano | 18c | 557.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…edf1backed Carano | 18c | 553.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Carano | 18c | 550$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…162abacked Carano | 19c | 550$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…1ceebacked Carano | 18c | 549.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…0968backed Carano | 18c | 546.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…8d54backed Carano | 18c | 546.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…6b45backed Carano | 21c | 540.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…94ccbacked Carano | 18c | 534.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0d85backed Carano | 19c | 529.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…c15dbacked Carano | 20c | 503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…f5fbbacked Carano | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…4c2ebacked Carano | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa199…b0e8backed Carano | 18c | 494.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…6cfbbacked Carano | 20c | 491.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…7546backed Carano | 21c | 485.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Carano | 20c | 482.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…0807backed Carano | 21c | 479.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b5…68e1backed Carano | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rousey | 79c | 474.46$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317d…e525backed Carano | 21c | 469.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Carano | 21c | 456.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Carano | 18c | 421.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5588…e508backed Carano | 20c | 412.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…3484backed Carano | 20c | 410.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Carano | 18c | 408.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Carano | 18c | 405.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Carano | 18c | 399.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…c371backed Carano | 18c | 392.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…9bbfbacked Carano | 18c | 377.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…3b17backed Carano | 21c | 366.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.