NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9277b62d650c0cb5af272217c5fee25b81c757a98dcb645b677c2f42b247d868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,938,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,345,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,938,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 699 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked 49ers | 70c | 340,000$238,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,999.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Browns | 30c | 302,400$90,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,656.48 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Browns | 26c | 167,403$43,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,243.9 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…bed0backed Browns | 0c | 99,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 49ers | 69c | 96,929$67,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,873.91 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…ccc8backed 49ers | 72c | 74,160$53,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,781.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers | 67c | 66,360$44,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,933.42 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers | 73c | 57,788$42,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,731.95 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Browns | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed 49ers | 70c | 31,552$22,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,465.47 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Browns | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed 49ers | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…0ea8backed 49ers | 71c | 29,718$21,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…31d4backed Browns | 30c | 28,717$8,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,615 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Browns | 35c | 28,574$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Browns | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Browns | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.98 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Browns | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 31c | 17,548$5,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439.37 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 70c | 16,691$11,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.97 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Browns | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Browns | 31c | 15,119$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.96 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Browns | 34c | 14,558$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Browns | 32c | 13,699$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.22 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Browns | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 30c | 11,438$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.88 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Browns | 30c | 11,124$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked 49ers | 71c | 10,768$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.75 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed 49ers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed 49ers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed 49ers | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Browns | 30c | 9,550$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Browns | 30c | 8,436$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked 49ers | 80c | 7,806$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed 49ers | 68c | 7,800$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 49ers | 71c | 7,656$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.53 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 49ers | 72c | 7,511$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.14 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns | 29c | 7,395$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.75 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Browns | 31c | 7,364$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed 49ers | 77c | 7,193$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.84 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Browns | 34c | 7,149$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.47 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…568bbacked 49ers | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Browns | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Browns | 31c | 6,666$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.46 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers | 69c | 5,986$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.39 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 49ers | 70c | 5,619$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.01 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Browns | 2c | 5,604$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed 49ers | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Browns | 31c | 4,908$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.09 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed 49ers | 73c | 4,773$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked 49ers | 68c | 4,134$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.82 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Browns | 33c | 4,126$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.25 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed Browns | 32c | 4,063$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed 49ers | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked 49ers | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…811abacked 49ers | 67c | 3,989$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Browns | 30c | 3,923$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.54 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns | 30c | 3,669$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.18 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked 49ers | 70c | 3,600$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…ff52backed Browns | 32c | 3,590$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…a5aebacked 49ers | 68c | 3,510$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed Browns | 30c | 3,492$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Browns | 28c | 3,450$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.43 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Browns | 31c | 3,312$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Browns | 29c | 3,192$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed 49ers | 65c | 3,179$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Browns | 6c | 3,153$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Browns | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9442backed 49ers | 68c | 3,096$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…9ff6backed Browns | 32c | 3,031$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…d461backed Browns | 30c | 3,005$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…7f7cbacked 49ers | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Browns | 23c | 3,000$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.37 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed 49ers | 70c | 2,971$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.29 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…347bbacked Browns | 32c | 2,937$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed 49ers | 68c | 2,909$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.91 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 74c | 2,755$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.61 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…cf3dbacked Browns | 32c | 2,681$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers | 60c | 2,556$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.77 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed 49ers | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed 49ers | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…2e9abacked 49ers | 68c | 2,495$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed 49ers | 70c | 2,492$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.93 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked 49ers | 67c | 2,440$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Browns | 30c | 2,390$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Browns | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…a421backed Browns | 30c | 2,300$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…9a6fbacked 49ers | 70c | 2,300$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…65a8backed Browns | 32c | 2,277$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…b8d7backed Browns | 32c | 2,215$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…6680backed 49ers | 68c | 2,207$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked 49ers | 69c | 2,200$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…ebb5backed Browns | 32c | 2,174$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…6851backed Browns | 30c | 2,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…6f49backed 49ers | 68c | 2,065$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked 49ers | 70c | 2,048$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.6 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked 49ers | 71c | 2,041$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Browns | 34c | 2,010$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Browns | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Brownsthis page
- 49ers vs. Browns: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 36.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 39.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.