TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa573…87c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,054.87
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$217
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$906
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$986.85
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,042
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$19.58
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$783
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$98.35
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+48.8%+$424.98
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$293.38
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,777.85
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,078
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$232.97
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+31.6%+$408.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+199.8%+$1,534.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$98.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$451
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,395.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,008
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$368.87
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+354.5%+$492.82
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,798Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27%+$755.54
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$296
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+334.8%+$1,780.98
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+104.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$733.14
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$2,000
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$736.61
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.24
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.