TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,122,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,122,064 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Yes33c160,000$52,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,199.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed No68c91,358$61,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,709.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No67c44,694$29,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,944.968146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No67c38,857$26,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,034.5113748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c33,314$16,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,654.082,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No11c31,881$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.754040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No9c26,240$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No67c22,388$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9111349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c22,206$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,197.386,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked No67c19,253$12,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,899.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes33c17,043$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,418.814841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes37c16,267$6,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,248.3213727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes34c14,806$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,806.421643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c14,593$9,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,832.6985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c14,505$9,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,762.141,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes19c12,470$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,123.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No64c10,950$7,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,017.7346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes33c9,091$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,090.912532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c8,911$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,411.4967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed No68c8,911$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.41666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Yes33c8,911$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,970.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb640…86b1backed Yes33c8,104$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,405.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Yes34c7,500$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No68c7,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.9215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No68c7,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.884748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c6,931$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.531,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No69c6,681$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.8313552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No68c6,249$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.3116050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No67c6,170$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.9351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7806650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No66c6,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.995442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No3c5,727$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.826015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No28c5,615$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No68c5,000$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.8713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed No51c4,879$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c4,634$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.221,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c4,320$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.3269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c4,283$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.491305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No68c3,949$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.9110951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No7c3,898$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.071,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c3,880$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.0677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c3,839$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.841,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked No6c3,809$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes52c3,460$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.0826344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes34c3,378$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.4325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes33c3,180$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.285228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1257732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes32c3,063$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bc…6125backed Yes33c3,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick22cpaid+239.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes33c2,839$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.411650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No1c2,727$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes49c2,720$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.0725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x655e…f22bbacked No4c2,700$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes34c2,657$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.4422458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c2,612$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.4627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c2,600$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7681,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe574…832abacked Yes33c2,506$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No68c2,496$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.2810246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes33c2,450$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6506150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes33c2,384$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes42c2,351$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.854431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed No69c2,312$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Yes33c2,302$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes32c2,298$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.4675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No4c2,200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes54c2,161$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.7741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No4c2,147$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.877429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c2,146$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.051,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No43c2,124$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.735862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c2,100$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.6552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed No5c2,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c2,091$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.122,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c2,086$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.6284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked No67c2,052$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.565246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No68c2,042$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed No68c2,015$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c2,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.031,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.969451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes32c1,960$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.0619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes46c1,913$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.3516548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes45c1,913$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.124057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c1,869$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.942,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No50c1,854$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.249660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes41c1,683$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.414440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No15c1,663$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25628824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…3d13backed Yes33c1,645$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.893348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Yes32c1,565$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.214166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.57433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes51c1,552$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.97275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes32c1,506$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.0828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked No68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0059042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked No67c1,491$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed No3c1,488$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.373828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes31c1,464$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.984944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.