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Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,777,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,777,856 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 973 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes39c230,000$89,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,954.4614544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed No61c216,749$132,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,249.072138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No60c207,740$125,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,528.486857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Yes39c169,702$66,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,183.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed Yes40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c84,446$51,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,361.191,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c80,150$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.18631.4%27 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed No61c72,775$44,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,382.241040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c46,371$16,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,084.942,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No61c40,000$24,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No61c38,250$23,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,917.467542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No61c37,250$22,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.937951.9%41 W · 38 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes39c35,956$14,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,022.826142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c33,668$20,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,409.242,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes9c33,113$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.986,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes16c31,500$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.9811350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes0c29,351$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.161305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No61c26,354$16,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,280.2221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No61c25,740$15,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,038.610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes40c25,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018234.6%63 W · 119 L-12.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes34c24,581$8,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,420.3827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes38c23,966$9,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,215.1551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No62c20,368$12,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,816.113050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes39c20,313$7,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,921.9213748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2004148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes39c19,487$7,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,507.132339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes40c17,296$6,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,845.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No61c16,000$9,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes2c15,747$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.693234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes40c15,641$6,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,283.425836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No60c14,651$8,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.6513247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c13,835$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.0328242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No61c13,770$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,370.37643.4%33 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No61c13,000$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.922157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No61c12,835$7,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,005.841457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes1c10,697$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.572934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes18c10,631$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.04728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x422d…98b7backed Yes0c10,072$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1004748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes39c9,695$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No61c9,325$5,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.656137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No61c8,997$5,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.8312454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c9…58abbacked Yes1c8,895$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes39c8,318$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.961,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.725655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No59c8,188$4,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,317.14944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c8,035$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.911,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2009134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked No60c7,840$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.691090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+121.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes39c7,801$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.382744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No61c7,500$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…4afebacked Yes40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No61c7,500$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.992360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c7,400$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9231,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No63c7,293$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.1856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No61c7,200$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80819239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0807…30edbacked Yes1c7,144$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Yes15c7,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c7,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes18c6,779$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.27429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes2c6,770$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.482147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No61c6,696$4,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.4410455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0445…e4dfbacked Yes40c6,253$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No73c6,217$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.372157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed No61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3404641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No60c6,000$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.984252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No70c5,959$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.2442744%188 W · 239 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes40c5,658$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.253650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c5,161$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.521,42644.3%632 W · 794 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes41c5,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09117042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes39c5,027$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.3518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+122.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9003557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9502544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x458a…972ebacked Yes0c4,950$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.019450%47 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No62c4,800$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8379055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No61c4,500$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7556550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No61c4,452$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.368146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No61c4,415$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.345846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No73c4,384$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.637548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe44…74ffbacked Yes1c4,256$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaa…0af8backed No61c4,128$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No61c4,098$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.369749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56018561.6%114 W · 71 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes40c4,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56046336.3%168 W · 295 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c59…b1cebacked No59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes41c3,698$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c3,696$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.992,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c3,684$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.4387848.3%424 W · 454 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No61c3,601$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.4123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.