TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc62c…2c44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT11044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.18
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.14
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.47
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.74
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.51
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.74
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$509.35
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$499
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: Hornets (-14.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$168.38
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$28.53
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.69
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$705
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$551.59
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$470
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$574.71
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$710.96
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,960
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,155.25
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,816.95
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,096.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$660.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$232
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,120.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.