TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,931,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,176,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9648…6825backed No34c187,055$63,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,976.541030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No12c108,775$13,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,467.72330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes63c102,559$64,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,950.473548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Yes72c102,362$74,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,271.462544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed No33c94,632$31,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,389.913551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes65c75,305$49,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,215.9611445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4567…6731backed Yes71c59,880$42,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,221.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes68c54,515$36,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,553.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No27c50,931$13,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,935.394052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc90e…4ef5backed No34c50,000$16,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,904.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x991b…f19abacked No31c39,688$12,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,211.131346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270d…8475backed Yes78c35,054$27,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,632.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…ecbfbacked Yes76c32,834$24,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,923.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No38c28,768$10,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,979.7964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Yes67c28,578$19,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,364944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes70c25,000$17,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+73.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…6c2dbacked No41c21,998$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Yes68c20,694$14,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.924757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes64c20,307$13,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,214.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+106.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes66c20,167$13,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes65c18,056$11,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,266.954454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes70c17,670$12,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,302.721254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec48…0bd6backed Yes74c16,843$12,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.49475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes66c16,178$10,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.238164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes69c15,818$10,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.4917454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a4…81debacked No43c15,719$6,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,779.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4a…bc74backed Yes71c15,600$11,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed No0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed4…8458backed Yes65c13,099$8,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Yes69c12,859$8,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…f44abacked Yes68c12,440$8,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,975.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…5b88backed Yes69c11,700$8,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8d…c3a9backed Yes70c11,324$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes70c11,124$7,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No30c10,961$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Yes72c10,956$7,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No23c10,142$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No42c9,779$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.011866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8520…8e06backed No27c8,977$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.41020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked Yes65c8,707$5,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes76c8,663$6,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No23c8,538$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes63c8,099$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.812263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x910e…8fc3backed Yes64c8,074$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No33c8,023$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No26c8,000$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed No28c7,912$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No36c7,575$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.032236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x687e…4a93backed Yes63c7,211$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes69c7,207$4,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.7517144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No28c7,012$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.43825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34bf…26e7backed No14c6,891$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186c…36a1backed No30c6,791$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes62c6,600$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.3117248.3%83 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdad6…59edbacked Yes61c6,495$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes72c6,266$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes69c6,228$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…d900backed Yes56c6,059$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Yes75c6,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5203100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0931…c3aebacked Yes67c5,992$4,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe89e…0600backed No37c5,681$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3e…3f97backed Yes74c5,665$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c9…717abacked Yes59c5,547$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes67c5,374$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes59c5,203$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes71c5,200$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab9…b1e4backed Yes73c5,200$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes64c5,137$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7001625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e1…b679backed Yes56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No30c5,000$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.997152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9924652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c5…8874backed No35c4,948$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b69…e094backed Yes75c4,839$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No30c4,800$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1835…b828backed Yes70c4,778$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c46…c777backed No0c4,626$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…b998backed Yes62c4,477$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a37…6984backed No27c4,374$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdf7…50fabacked No14c4,345$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e5…f7ecbacked Yes69c4,232$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes67c4,182$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.973839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes70c4,091$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.92544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…1494backed Yes77c4,019$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes67c4,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9818044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.97875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked No33c3,999$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Yes70c3,949$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No33c3,823$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.683638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…5455backed Yes66c3,799$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.777544%33 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes68c3,782$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b61…599cbacked Yes72c3,668$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes67c3,648$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.095933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No38c3,535$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.9119645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7897…4239backed Yes63c3,420$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed No36c3,290$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.182152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes61c3,222$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes70c3,030$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.968729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2009…903ebacked Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bb8…69edbacked No2c3,000$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.