NFL · resolved market

Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x861c58ebf76a2d8b05280bd6143647813540d02d9cfa2132f265b9c402eb81db

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $211,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $194,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9648…6825backed Yes	5c	11,562$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.45	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes	15c	10,958$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes	8c	5,309$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Yes	5c	5,184$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.99	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2718…1b81backed Yes	10c	4,990$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e1…b679backed Yes	8c	4,291$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes	15c	4,066$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	10c	2,500$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.96	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	37cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x616a…6104backed Yes	6c	2,447$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x991b…f19abacked Yes	12c	2,392$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546f…4599backed Yes	7c	2,300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	5c	2,160$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.09	65	0%0 W · 65 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	8c	2,108$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.09	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,978$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes	3c	1,728$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.01	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae96…e1a2backed Yes	7c	1,697$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	12c	1,587$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.72	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a10…9977backed Yes	8c	1,509$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.72	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fc…122ebacked Yes	7c	1,409$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce55…2c7abacked Yes	19c	1,334$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	8c	1,308$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.76	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cde…11d9backed Yes	19c	1,151$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	6c	1,120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.78	107	31.8%34 W · 73 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8de…a500backed Yes	7c	1,095$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1990…0fdebacked Yes	22c	1,053$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53d5…4e35backed Yes	13c	1,019$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Yes	9c	988.44$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.38	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…4c6fbacked Yes	4c	893.95$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c74…6533backed Yes	2c	873.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes	5c	865.41$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.94	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-53%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b8…f4e3backed Yes	17c	864.04$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db4…11c2backed Yes	13c	864$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes	8c	855.58$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.53	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c03…4ea3backed Yes	12c	846.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d8…7a55backed Yes	19c	804.96$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	2c	797$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…244fbacked Yes	2c	763.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-68%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ae…a498backed Yes	7c	725$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83c7…8539backed Yes	11c	686.01$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1225…54f8backed Yes	10c	673.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfc…ee99backed Yes	17c	651.42$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fac…574ebacked Yes	16c	631.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes	15c	605.22$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe43a…90b8backed Yes	4c	597.57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.75	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Yes	17c	587.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+99.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Yes	9c	579.88$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Yes	7c	559.01$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cea…cc60backed Yes	18c	553.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dae…c996backed Yes	19c	537.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Yes	15c	537.43$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8242…d187backed Yes	12c	533.35$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeee…171dbacked Yes	9c	531.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Yes	8c	529.22$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564a…af9bbacked Yes	3c	520.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a07…a3c7backed Yes	11c	499.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x738b…f6cdbacked Yes	13c	499.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x109d…9274backed Yes	7c	497$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae7…2419backed Yes	6c	494.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5df…a81bbacked Yes	11c	457.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6935…6d0abacked Yes	14c	454.38$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a3…6b07backed Yes	23c	433.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x929f…e1a1backed Yes	16c	423.53$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.06	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5d…5598backed Yes	10c	391.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5892…8a85backed Yes	13c	379.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a9…3617backed Yes	11c	369.11$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc384…807ebacked Yes	9c	367.42$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0740…8a92backed Yes	8c	365.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes	14c	359.92$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.19	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fab…a46ebacked Yes	28c	353.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6a…db19backed Yes	7c	350.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8c…5996backed Yes	12c	345.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…67a2backed Yes	12c	341.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…717cbacked Yes	15c	338.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be8…e00abacked Yes	6c	330$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ee…8b31backed Yes	19c	320.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6708…90a3backed Yes	8c	320$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…58c9backed Yes	9c	319.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf210…9239backed Yes	8c	300.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	34cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x605b…df31backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	29cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd50c…f5fabacked Yes	16c	300$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0743…d784backed Yes	8c	298.91$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd116…c736backed Yes	8c	298.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf663…04debacked Yes	13c	297.06$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972e…71d6backed Yes	17c	296.02$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d8…3484backed Yes	6c	292.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c7…1c03backed Yes	11c	291.68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa01b…7723backed Yes	9c	290.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a7…88c8backed Yes	10c	288.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…86d3backed Yes	7c	280.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e25…57c7backed Yes	11c	271.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb647…0e85backed Yes	4c	271.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe518…0db5backed Yes	21c	262.55$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe14…1a10backed Yes	5c	249.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-74%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…7414backed Yes	4c	249.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc360…6864backed Yes	20c	248.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes	22c	248.05$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…b6aabacked Yes	8c	239.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event