NFL · resolved market
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7077b1f9f89b5a3c20564d1ccbd1950727d4abb108eb7ec35608adedb6441161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 1c | 20,717$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 20,320$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.39 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 13,524$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes | 1c | 9,647$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,944$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,695$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 1c | 3,622$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…7c0dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,561$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Yes | 3c | 3,324$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,532$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…42cebacked Yes | 4c | 2,406$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,353$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4fa6backed Yes | 3c | 2,261$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 1c | 2,062$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Yes | 4c | 1,973$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…4cfbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,892$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…244fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,827$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 3c | 1,652$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc384…807ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,363$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…0e07backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,283$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…a6fbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…1ebabacked Yes | 6c | 1,230$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…643cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,218$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…98d5backed Yes | 2c | 1,215$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…14b9backed Yes | 2c | 1,208$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…2459backed Yes | 2c | 1,138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…b8fcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,105$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…3e2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,086$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…8d46backed Yes | 3c | 1,083$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 1,040$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…2bffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,036$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…b378backed Yes | 1c | 1,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 1c | 999.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…7723backed Yes | 3c | 919.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 1c | 850$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…d0a8backed Yes | 3c | 698.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c74…6533backed Yes | 3c | 687.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…6672backed Yes | 3c | 664.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…00a7backed Yes | 3c | 618.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…0ec9backed Yes | 4c | 587.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…b4c4backed Yes | 4c | 545.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…3ab0backed Yes | 18c | 542.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked Yes | 4c | 525.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d746backed Yes | 4c | 522.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…e947backed Yes | 4c | 500.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…0583backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…bd4dbacked Yes | 4c | 471.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…f311backed Yes | 4c | 448.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…f24bbacked Yes | 6c | 444.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…b945backed Yes | 3c | 438.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…70abbacked Yes | 5c | 436.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…7ec5backed Yes | 5c | 428.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…d6f5backed Yes | 5c | 421.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…eb12backed Yes | 3c | 412.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…6fb7backed Yes | 5c | 399.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…860fbacked Yes | 5c | 383.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 366.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…eef8backed Yes | 6c | 359.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…2c5ebacked Yes | 5c | 326.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…cc7fbacked Yes | 6c | 317.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…0ae3backed Yes | 6c | 315.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…acd8backed Yes | 8c | 311.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…b2febacked Yes | 5c | 310.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +425.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…9007backed Yes | 4c | 276.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…70b3backed Yes | 5c | 276.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…6631backed Yes | 4c | 258.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 6c | 254.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…4a8bbacked Yes | 10c | 208.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe1…a218backed Yes | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5013…6327backed Yes | 6c | 173.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…6a0fbacked Yes | 10c | 163.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Efecto" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "I Like It" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA CANCIÓN" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Jumpa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Santa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "MIA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Me Porto Bonito" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "No Me Conoce - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Ojitos Lindos" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "PERRO NEGRO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Te Boté - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will "Yonaguni" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "un x100to" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.