NFL · resolved market
Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3909a3afcb9072027da33f8bc4f54ff9859e500415168ebb35f7ba0ed2546d3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 0c | 17,655$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,716$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…643cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,566$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,838$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…98d5backed Yes | 1c | 3,354$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…b317backed Yes | 1c | 2,068$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…de8cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,984$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,478$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…488fbacked Yes | 3c | 760.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…3ea8backed Yes | 3c | 641.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…4109backed Yes | 5c | 480.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…6fb7backed Yes | 5c | 365.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 6c | 249.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…09d5backed Yes | 5c | 211.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…f24bbacked Yes | 13c | 199.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Efecto" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "I Like It" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA CANCIÓN" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Jumpa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "La Santa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "MIA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Me Porto Bonito" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "No Me Conoce - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Ojitos Lindos" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "PERRO NEGRO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Te Boté - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will "Yonaguni" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will "un x100to" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.