NFL · resolved market

Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd1ffa649532866d1577b1ab0494f143629f435b63342c1f736f4e2dd1ec559

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $256,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $238,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,790 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9648…6825backed Yes	9c	44,326$4,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,106.92	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	9c	9,315$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.31	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…55d1backed Yes	0c	8,157$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	5c	5,315$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.3	65	0%0 W · 65 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2718…1b81backed Yes	5c	5,000$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes	7c	3,945$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.69	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09e1…68d1backed Yes	9c	3,819$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	7c	3,402$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.25	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	10c	3,139$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.19	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	6c	2,895$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.92	107	31.8%34 W · 73 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa648…fb47backed Yes	6c	2,501$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes	6c	2,378$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.17	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	1,994$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.26	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…f7bcbacked Yes	14c	1,963$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+53%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes	6c	1,697$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.03	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e25…57c7backed Yes	11c	1,542$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.97	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e38…6ea8backed Yes	10c	1,490$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf807…e9f4backed Yes	4c	1,421$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Yes	10c	1,300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ea…81cabacked Yes	14c	1,275$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes	8c	1,250$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.44	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes	10c	1,250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.25	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3505…3ab0backed Yes	9c	1,132$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4f…25dbbacked Yes	9c	1,122$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc516…3f8bbacked Yes	10c	1,117$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.62	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+131.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…59e3backed Yes	9c	1,109$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	1,017$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.94	368	26.9%99 W · 269 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c7…0367backed Yes	5c	997.21$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.63	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…795dbacked Yes	11c	900.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5df…a81bbacked Yes	8c	840.06$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	9c	826.04$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	12c	823.07$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2861…7d46backed Yes	10c	820.02$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes	13c	769.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed Yes	9c	737.69$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb823…e82abacked Yes	7c	691.68$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…d74bbacked Yes	10c	641.19$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebf…2459backed Yes	9c	623.94$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	5c	607.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes	16c	606.73$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.94	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd246…fec7backed Yes	6c	600.78$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x763d…0ec9backed Yes	11c	582.81$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.79	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb1…85f7backed Yes	17c	576.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x154a…86b0backed Yes	9c	572.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2193…727ebacked Yes	18c	567.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6648…fe09backed Yes	8c	553.84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aff…d95cbacked Yes	11c	549.52$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b2…2547backed Yes	17c	544.94$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9960…2055backed Yes	9c	543.48$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1809…bd81backed Yes	27c	540$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a0…bbcfbacked Yes	7c	537.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes	10c	531.29$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4029…272dbacked Yes	8c	530.69$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe43a…90b8backed Yes	7c	514.29$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe876…42b6backed Yes	17c	510.12$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…7f97backed Yes	8c	496.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e6…cbe7backed Yes	17c	490$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1d…148bbacked Yes	15c	468.8$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Yes	24c	468.78$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.27	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes	13c	467.31$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f8…ca15backed Yes	10c	460.73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	6c	458.37$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e9…712ebacked Yes	11c	455.84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…4279backed Yes	9c	450$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…758dbacked Yes	7c	446.46$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e1…e767backed Yes	11c	443.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab7…d0a4backed Yes	6c	440.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes	7c	436.28$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9522…904fbacked Yes	11c	434.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564a…af9bbacked Yes	6c	432.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9f…359ebacked Yes	10c	416.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0740…8a92backed Yes	6c	414.58$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	407.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	103	46.6%48 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…5039backed Yes	10c	397.82$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…717cbacked Yes	13c	391.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9c8…4b22backed Yes	13c	387.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes	9c	383.38$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.95	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd8…f76fbacked Yes	8c	378.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba32…cf05backed Yes	10c	377.57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ea…d9babacked Yes	9c	370$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	8c	361.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Yes	8c	356.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…244fbacked Yes	7c	352.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.54	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-68%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Yes	8c	350$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7937…015cbacked Yes	8c	350$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	27cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x953c…1aacbacked Yes	13c	347$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.57	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6935…6d0abacked Yes	6c	346.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e4…b96fbacked Yes	9c	339.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4957…f25ebacked Yes	8c	337.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9f…09c1backed Yes	9c	334.46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd660…dd8bbacked Yes	6c	334.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f8…0e4fbacked Yes	9c	332.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ed…14f2backed Yes	15c	329.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x554b…82ebbacked Yes	11c	319.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Yes	8c	316.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81c5…54cabacked Yes	11c	314.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdc…8eedbacked Yes	9c	311.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…8798backed Yes	10c	309.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efc…48e8backed Yes	10c	308.59$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event