NFL · resolved market

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97815079f005c08321f0d338c24a5924e762a55336d4b8c75d47a5a00a5d5e1d

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $360,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $346,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,516 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9648…6825backed Yes	11c	150,313$16,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,171.2	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Yes	12c	21,738$2,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.04	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	79c	5,328$4,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.78	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e1…68d1backed Yes	15c	4,036$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…e2c4backed Yes	13c	3,302$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.97	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-59%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f7…edf8backed Yes	15c	2,487$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f60…bbccbacked Yes	11c	2,373$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.52	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	7c	2,346$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.71	65	0%0 W · 65 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ae…fd36backed Yes	19c	2,298$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c15…758dbacked Yes	11c	2,216$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.62	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes	10c	2,200$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	13c	2,141$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.19	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb3…f8d6backed Yes	25c	2,001$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…e573backed Yes	10c	1,928$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes	18c	1,879$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.61	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe854…aa44backed Yes	12c	1,842$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc5…4fe7backed Yes	11c	1,602$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…fa57backed Yes	9c	1,541$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.48	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186c…36a1backed Yes	33c	1,512$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb26d…b98dbacked Yes	2c	1,476$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08e4…9bb3backed Yes	13c	1,403$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.09	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes	15c	1,340$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	1,335$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.11	368	26.9%99 W · 269 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd2a…757fbacked Yes	20c	1,298$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff5…454fbacked Yes	9c	1,256$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Yes	8c	1,235$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes	12c	1,169$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.83	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-62%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes	12c	1,068$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.95	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc24a…be82backed Yes	11c	1,067$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x738b…f6cdbacked Yes	10c	1,039$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	10c	1,023$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.41	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed Yes	12c	1,012$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.73	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	37cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc91f…e850backed Yes	10c	963.94$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6935…6d0abacked Yes	10c	954.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba0…181abacked Yes	16c	924.39$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…676dbacked Yes	12c	890$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3e39…6f96backed Yes	15c	880.9$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58c…e255backed Yes	11c	843.94$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…67a2backed Yes	17c	842.86$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x620d…a2f2backed Yes	12c	842.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3618…867cbacked Yes	2c	819.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e53…14e7backed Yes	16c	812.24$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-51%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	13c	788.13$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.92	107	31.8%34 W · 73 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5945…727abacked Yes	11c	787.58$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.56	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	760.06$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.42	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f3…b01ebacked Yes	14c	732.8$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf252…e082backed Yes	12c	725.43$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa805…83dcbacked Yes	17c	703.43$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.47	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x605b…df31backed Yes	12c	700$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.44	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	29cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	12c	696.13$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.21	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7005…c4d5backed Yes	11c	619.87$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	14c	600$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes	10c	580.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.87	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	9c	577.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1990…0fdebacked Yes	17c	576.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8520…8e06backed Yes	10c	574.06$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-73%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes	10c	562.51$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.52	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…8a3ebacked Yes	20c	555.23$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.36	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e1…e767backed Yes	9c	545.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf379…36c0backed Yes	8c	533.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebf…2459backed Yes	9c	516.05$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x935c…9ed0backed Yes	13c	509.77$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…1de9backed Yes	10c	500.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcffe…146dbacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes	8c	499.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes	8c	499.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x588f…67b6backed Yes	10c	492.37$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Yes	8c	458.58$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes	15c	449.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Yes	13c	449.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	12c	425.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4252…4a6ebacked Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ca…2fb5backed Yes	10c	412.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1309…4a35backed Yes	13c	409.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.8	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4424…4cc6backed Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-49%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…904fbacked Yes	15c	396.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc195…33febacked Yes	12c	389.46$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d1…26dcbacked Yes	13c	388.75$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12b…847cbacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb4…65a8backed Yes	12c	384.46$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	23c	384$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.04	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564a…af9bbacked Yes	11c	380.93$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d31…fa6ebacked Yes	10c	380$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0f…a521backed Yes	11c	378.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	9c	376.14$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdc…8eedbacked Yes	14c	350.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfc…8b6ebacked Yes	11c	350$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes	14c	349.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a72…03dabacked Yes	17c	344.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	42cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5e…ce60backed Yes	12c	344.49$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x222e…4944backed Yes	16c	342.27$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382f…4fa6backed Yes	12c	335$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e5…9749backed Yes	16c	334.17$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	12c	332.18$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64df…a752backed Yes	12c	332.12$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	11c	329.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	89	58.4%52 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event