TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f60…bbcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$257.52
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$289
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+216.4%+$562.58
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$354.9
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$302.52
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$287.85
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Syracuse vs. Miamibacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgersbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UCLA vs. Indianabacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$162.28
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vanderbilt vs. Alabamabacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$226
Syracuse vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Clemson vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$322
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$619
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$226
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$636
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$237
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$129.25
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$213.96
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$521
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$7.95
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.49
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$425
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$646
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will William Byron win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Daytona 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$401.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.