MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x040d047d51a77cd2867b7f074c3683fed8148b416a0ef0a75fdd1adf2323c80a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yankees | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,799.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 43c | 39,418$17,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,412.79 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 42c | 10,004$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.61 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Blue Jays | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 74c | 3,657$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.72 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yankees | 3c | 2,897$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Yankees | 24c | 2,661$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 78c | 1,909$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.03 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 14c | 1,260$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…a3b2backed Blue Jays | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Blue Jays | 74c | 928$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yankees | 35c | 695.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…46f9backed Yankees | 26c | 596.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Yankees | 24c | 420$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yankees | 21c | 413.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yankees | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yankees | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…fcb5backed Yankees | 24c | 225.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed Yankees | 10c | 225.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yankees | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…0cd9backed Yankees | 14c | 154.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed Yankees | 50c | 151.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yankees | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yankees | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 106.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…0ccfbacked Yankees | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…7afebacked Yankees | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…b4d8backed Yankees | 23c | 87.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 77.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 75.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…877cbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yankees | 26c | 59.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Yankees | 25c | 48.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Blue Jays | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Yankees | 49c | 43.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Blue Jays | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…8dd6backed Yankees | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed Blue Jays | 41c | 26.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed Blue Jays | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…9e2bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Blue Jays | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.