TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9efd…1880

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series Winnerbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.08
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$39.45
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$533.39
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Series Winnerbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$367.24
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$251.64
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.42
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winnerbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11.67
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.91
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$29.64
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.54
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$31.21
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.91
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Finals G4: Will SGA score 34+ points against the Pacers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
NBA Finals G3: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$47.28
Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$59.63
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.41
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$92.36
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$21.62
Bills vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Dolphins: 1H Moneylinebacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$51.53
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$16.88
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.07
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.84
Eagles vs. Giants: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$40.82
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+94.7%+$99.31
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+27.3%+$18.09
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.5%+$42.93
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$28.16
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+109.4%+$54.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$23.78
Avalanche vs. Bruinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.82
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.67
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.97
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sky vs. Mercurybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$45.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$87.12
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.55
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+253.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+253.4%+$202.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS: FURIA vs Astralisbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+42%+$16.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$30.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$74.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.