MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1dddc25ef51137eeb740a761ee8287495befba2c1cce887b2d1157771837057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Royals | 43c | 22,166$9,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,628.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 57c | 21,449$12,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,271.4 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 44c | 11,756$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.71 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 56c | 11,055$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.2 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 43c | 8,400$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 56c | 6,802$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Royals | 44c | 5,009$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 56c | 4,561$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.84 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Royals | 45c | 4,218$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Mariners | 56c | 3,909$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 44c | 3,333$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 44c | 2,752$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Mariners | 57c | 2,442$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Royals | 44c | 1,057$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.08 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 55c | 1,031$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 2c | 1,012$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 4c | 840.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 45c | 763.93$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mariners | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 56c | 714$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mariners | 73c | 686.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Royals | 2c | 620.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 17c | 576.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 55c | 558.66$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Royals | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 43c | 499.94$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 43c | 450.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mariners | 55c | 373.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 45c | 353.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Mariners | 57c | 342.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Royals | 26c | 309.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals | 45c | 302.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Mariners | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 27c | 249.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 22c | 238.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Mariners | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 57c | 226.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Mariners | 57c | 189.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royals | 14c | 186$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mariners | 56c | 163.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Royals | 45c | 153.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Mariners | 56c | 144.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Royals | 23c | 137.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mariners | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 66c | 126.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Royals | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Mariners | 56c | 104.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 79c | 103.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 30c | 102.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Mariners | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Royals | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mariners | 55c | 77.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Royals | 45c | 71.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Mariners | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed Mariners | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mariners | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Royals | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…0d7dbacked Mariners | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mariners | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…33e3backed Royals | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Royals | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mariners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Mariners | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Mariners | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…80a4backed Royals | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Mariners | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Mariners | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Mariners | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Mariners | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Mariners | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Mariners | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Mariners | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Mariners | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Mariners | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Mariners | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Mariners | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…ac9fbacked Royals | 45c | 25.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…a259backed Mariners | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mariners | 55c | 24.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Royals | 43c | 23.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Mariners | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…f38abacked Mariners | 56c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Mariners | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…b81ebacked Mariners | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Royalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.