TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91c6…33e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5038%19 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$10.47
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$8.41
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.92
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.67
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.56
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$2.95
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+44.9%+$9.43
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mariners vs. Bravesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.