TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Bengals, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,109,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,381,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94dc…c779backed Bengals68c323,577$219,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,120.097853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Titans28c147,673$42,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,045.932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Titans30c69,949$20,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,720.3825137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Titans42c59,673$25,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,073.954736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Titans30c46,754$13,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,826.13943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Titans23c45,898$10,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,434.055650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Titans39c41,766$16,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,313.7414349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Titans30c32,195$9,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,671.8627339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Titans43c16,030$6,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,905.560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Bengals60c15,001$9,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.312570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Titans48c14,713$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,047.3420634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Titans29c13,980$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.2621251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Bengals71c13,373$9,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,878.272152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Bengals70c11,814$8,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,598.319259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Titans30c11,019$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.7639754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Titans29c10,135$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.879645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Titans30c9,400$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.91513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Titans41c9,113$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.9822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Titans30c8,376$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.737037.1%26 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…d305backed Bengals71c7,715$5,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bengals60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebc…e882backed Titans29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans30c6,888$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.2844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Bengals63c5,500$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.993250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Titans30c5,201$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.228556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Titans48c4,563$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Titans31c4,088$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.1611738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Bengals70c4,009$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.633568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Titans29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16010624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Titans30c3,500$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04015722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Titans32c3,295$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.37627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Titans32c2,919$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9281346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Titans6c2,774$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4817823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Titans29c2,762$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.514022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Titans30c2,743$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.3624738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Bengals56c2,621$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.053871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Titans31c2,564$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.7119543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Bengals79c2,535$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.043265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Titans29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Bengals70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Titans47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3b…10bebacked Titans30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans2c1,586$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.034311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43dd…5291backed Titans30c1,585$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.43036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dda…8b1ebacked Bengals69c1,540$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.391464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cb…3accbacked Bengals69c1,493$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.722268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd2…d60fbacked Bengals71c1,412$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.582770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Bengals71c1,409$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.59265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3c…b2c1backed Bengals71c1,332$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Titans2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-86.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Titans30c1,133$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Bengals71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7616275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Titans30c1,087$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Bengals71c1,087$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.252572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Bengals74c1,006$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.578650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Titans51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5107833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Titans29c999.84$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9514757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Titans31c945.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.214750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Bengals72c945.75$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.816944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Bengals69c871.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2212760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Titans29c865$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.854746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Bengals72c770.27$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.174178%32 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Bengals72c722.22$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2221454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe661…3cffbacked Titans48c710.38$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.571216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b0…e9bfbacked Bengals71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf389…dbc7backed Titans29c695.3$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals71c690$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.119864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…09f1backed Titans30c656.67$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Titans29c640.75$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.015541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Bengals71c599.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1744447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bengals71c581.01$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.493773%27 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e9…3083backed Bengals69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Titans42c575.66$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Titans31c551.61$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x110a…7cdbbacked Titans33c545.45$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Titans30c537.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.215453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Titans37c518.49$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7410842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Titans30c517.79$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.344032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Titans29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bengals71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14517558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14538459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Titans30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals68c499.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9920646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Titans30c464.83$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4510937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8290…6a65backed Bengals66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.551190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Bengals79c448.75$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2225643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Titans31c443.94$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6220736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bengals56c434.03$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf84…2494backed Bengals71c430.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Bengals71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0b…878fbacked Titans49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Titans47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18814148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Bengals71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1113655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Bengals70c350.38$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.115848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb066…4cefbacked Bengals70c348.43$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Bengals72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.223253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Titans30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Bengals51c327.38$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.421770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Titans44c309.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2810345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.