TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1cb…3acc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$446.64
Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+105.9%+$70.3
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,872.22
Will Dan Quinn win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$307.5
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$7,985.06
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will the LA Rams game get moved to Phoenix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+37.3%+$1,330.29
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$352
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+41.5%+$623.27
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,061.76
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,390.7
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+25%+$498.56
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+46.7%+$1,168.89
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+31.6%+$480
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$736.19
Commanders vs. Saintsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+28.2%+$282.05
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+44.1%+$456.72
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+29.2%+$94.8
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$116
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$149.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$514.4
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$649.12
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,195.37
Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32.08
Australian Open: Paul vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+29.2%+$90.5
Will Alex De Minaur reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,883Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+81.4%+$2,347.02
Will Alexander Zverev reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+36.3%+$186.99
Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$78.15
Will Taylor Fritz reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$59.89
Will Karen Khachanov reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+70%+$14.82
Will Tomas Machac reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$209.36
Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$178.13
Will Daniil Medvedev reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,585.04
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$215.17
ATP Finals: Zverev vs. Alcarazbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+106.6%+$184.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$22.47
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.7%+$137.31
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$612
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$147.66
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$795.13
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,261.8
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.87
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$910.28
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$454.25
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,091Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,047.95
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+119%+$29.88
US strike on Syria by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+239%+$28.2
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,377.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$411.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.