NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5846dad0606fd9aab89dae51db8848aa5d43a8169c58665e2853572bb0840c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Commanders, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $973,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Commanders | 69c | 155,333$107,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,409.13 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Cowboys | 34c | 74,325$25,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,157 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Commanders | 75c | 60,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cowboys | 28c | 43,933$12,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,363.89 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys | 28c | 25,809$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232.51 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cowboys | 25c | 24,000$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cowboys | 26c | 22,299$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.9 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Cowboys | 30c | 21,754$6,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.24 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Commanders | 72c | 18,117$13,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cowboys | 27c | 17,635$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.43 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys | 25c | 17,390$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.55 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Cowboys | 25c | 15,068$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.14 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cowboys | 30c | 14,977$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.06 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Commanders | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Commanders | 75c | 13,180$9,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Cowboys | 50c | 11,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.98 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Cowboys | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Commanders | 70c | 8,527$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Cowboys | 37c | 6,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.98 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cowboys | 35c | 4,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Commanders | 65c | 4,216$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.53 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Cowboys | 35c | 4,057$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.44 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Cowboys | 31c | 3,535$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.26 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Commanders | 65c | 3,517$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Commanders | 74c | 3,388$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Commanders | 61c | 3,143$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.61 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Cowboys | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Commanders | 63c | 2,995$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.15 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Cowboys | 30c | 2,882$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Commanders | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cowboys | 27c | 2,850$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.48 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cowboys | 32c | 2,221$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Commanders | 71c | 2,126$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.27 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Commanders | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Commanders | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Commanders | 3c | 1,961$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.21 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Commanders | 74c | 1,847$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.91 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Cowboys | 27c | 1,820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Cowboys | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cowboys | 31c | 1,671$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.29 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Cowboys | 37c | 1,520$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.82 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cowboys | 27c | 1,520$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.81 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cowboys | 32c | 1,445$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.59 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Commanders | 45c | 1,288$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.41 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Commanders | 74c | 1,192$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cowboys | 29c | 1,085$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.73 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Commanders | 69c | 1,001$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cowboys | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Cowboys | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Commanders | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Commanders | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Commanders | 65c | 999.99$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Commanders | 73c | 989$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Commanders | 67c | 932.84$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Commanders | 67c | 927.91$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Commanders | 64c | 889.96$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.92 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Commanders | 27c | 876.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Commanders | 75c | 871.39$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…4211backed Commanders | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…b9f6backed Cowboys | 29c | 786.21$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Commanders | 68c | 769.94$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cowboys | 33c | 739.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.55 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Commanders | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cowboys | 27c | 719.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a5…e32bbacked Commanders | 73c | 690.79$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cowboys | 32c | 690$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Commanders | 74c | 674.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Commanders | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Cowboys | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Cowboys | 42c | 611.22$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…efa8backed Commanders | 70c | 591$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cowboys | 25c | 580$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Cowboys | 39c | 561.91$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.45 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Cowboys | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Cowboys | 41c | 503.28$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Commanders | 66c | 502.09$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Commanders | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Commanders | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Commanders | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…e19fbacked Cowboys | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Commanders | 70c | 495.14$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Commanders | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Commanders | 54c | 463.88$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Commanders | 62c | 448.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cowboys | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Cowboys | 27c | 398.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Commanders | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Commanders | 67c | 375.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Cowboys | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Cowboys | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Cowboys | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Cowboys | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cowboys | 36c | 332.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…b639backed Commanders | 74c | 321.61$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Cowboys | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Commanders | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Commanders | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Commanders | 40c | 277.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Commanders | 58c | 274.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.