TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof Panthers, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Panthers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Panthers18c46,681$8,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,402.680%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Panthers21c33,315$6,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,876.031811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Panthers18c31,214$5,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.417823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Buccaneers79c27,000$21,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6703943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Panthers16c26,046$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215.661769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers4c23,277$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.9720634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers18c15,846$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.9944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers16c15,075$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41239754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Panthers19c15,026$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8551631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Panthers1c13,986$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.098218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Panthers5c10,137$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.991650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Panthers18c10,001$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.2712144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Panthers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc109…1ad2backed Panthers18c8,484$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.192931%9 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Buccaneers79c7,500$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5752391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Panthers17c7,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.967042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers1c4,645$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.554311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Panthers19c4,289$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8152055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers17c4,149$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panthers17c3,603$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4811139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Panthers3c3,587$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.693743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Panthers17c2,760$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers21c2,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9220646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cb…3accbacked Buccaneers80c2,493$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.562268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Buccaneers79c2,025$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.327754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Buccaneers79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42024351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Panthers21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.999645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Panthers5c1,852$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers21c1,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers18c1,797$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4636246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Buccaneers80c1,571$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.110467.3%70 W · 34 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Panthers3c1,524$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.033116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Buccaneers80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Panthers6c1,493$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5514349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ec…388ebacked Panthers5c1,425$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.373073.3%22 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Panthers23c1,424$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4511738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Buccaneers80c1,251$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Panthers18c1,248$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.573426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Panthers21c1,235$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.439732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff6…0dcbbacked Panthers18c1,121$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Panthers19c1,111$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.714323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb31…dc5cbacked Panthers20c1,015$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Panthers8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Panthers1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d52…96f9backed Panthers2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Panthers20c999.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.714022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Panthers21c999.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9910738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Panthers14c975.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8411945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf892…9769backed Panthers17c850$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Panthers5c792.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers21c792.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.353030%9 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5a…4118backed Buccaneers80c786.08$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.221291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48a9…c481backed Panthers6c752.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d6…50f6backed Panthers20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Panthers17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cb…6c2abacked Panthers6c593.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Panthers7c566.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.138650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Buccaneers79c508.79$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Panthers20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Panthers22c485$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.73411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Panthers16c485$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9515556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Panthers21c444$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2420736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Panthers17c443.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3714837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5389…daecbacked Panthers20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Panthers18c399.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Panthers18c393$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0617656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Panthers21c376.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7918151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Panthers18c365.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Panthers4c358.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Buccaneers80c325$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6510463.5%66 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67fa…cdcfbacked Buccaneers79c316.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Panthers9c312.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.873842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers19c308$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.527241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Panthers19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Panthers20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a3…0bc1backed Panthers23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Panthers17c290.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.371838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Panthers21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Panthers18c280.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Panthers18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers16c257.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4352828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc9…7c59backed Buccaneers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162491.7%22 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Panthers4c250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.057562.7%47 W · 28 L+9.7wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Panthers6c239.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.422838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Panthers13c223.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…f4abbacked Buccaneers79c222.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…f3edbacked Panthers23c221.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Panthers19c221.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.274334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408348.2%40 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Panthers8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.657071.4%50 W · 20 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Panthers17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Buccaneers79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.871675%12 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Panthers14c185.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.152828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…2da1backed Panthers17c179.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.111258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d9…eff0backed Panthers14c176.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers18c154.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.424054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Panthers20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Panthers20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Panthers20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.