TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24fe…e52c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST5240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.1%+$39.72
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36.82
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$230.18
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+222.6%+$69
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+177.8%+$192
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$45
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$77.04
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+300%+$66.2
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$64
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$50.13
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$19.67
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+292.2%+$148.99
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$76.71
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+566.7%+$170
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$86
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$40.98
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+202.4%+$74.98
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$102
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$54.24
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+244.8%+$70.98
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$115.4
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+233.3%+$69.99
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Predators vs. Wildbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$34
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$85.97
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$33
Senators vs. Wildbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+143.9%+$59
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+122.2%+$54.98
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+132.6%+$56.94
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$68
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+284.6%+$147.98
Sabres vs. Bluesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+117.4%+$162
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$44
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+117.4%+$54
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$37.99
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$77.98
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$34
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+132.6%+$57
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+127.3%+$55.99
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST2828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37.99
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+400%+$131.16
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.06
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$1,785.67
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$135
Will the Commanders and Falcons combine for 48 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+108.3%+$45.49
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+102.7%+$154.08
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$41
Will the Raiders and Saints combine for 38 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$93
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$63
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+354.5%+$78
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$74
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$26
Will the Rams and Cardinals combine for 48 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+108.3%+$52
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$57
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$97
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$154
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+112.1%+$876.18
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+59.1%+$175.71
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$131.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$106.69
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.93
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,091.03
Minnesota vs. Virginia Techbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+27.2%+$195.6
Duke vs. Ole Missbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+73.3%+$190.97
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$251.95
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$191.08
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$102.47
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+334.8%+$385
Louisiana Tech vs. Armybacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$62
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+227.9%+$139
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$40.63
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+194.1%+$131.92
Louisiana vs. TCUbacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$46
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$36
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+132.6%+$57
Texas A&M vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+185.7%+$41.87
Syracuse vs. Washington Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$43.99
Texas Tech vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+152.5%+$75
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+143.9%+$117.98
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Greenbacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+325.5%+$152.96
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will Manchester United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$26
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+669.2%+$174
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+257.1%+$71.99
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$40.22
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+212.5%+$68
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$58.99
Will Everton win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trudeau out before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$2,048.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.