NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d1d0447a8a637264c6e86e0c73630a3f88ec5a9eec36e43235da75e70b04337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 28c | 2,540$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.31 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Oilers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…3b59backed Ducks | 26c | 1,725$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Oilers | 70c | 1,679$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.26 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,648$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.02 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 74c | 1,001$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.49 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 36c | 930.3$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Oilers | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…2122backed Oilers | 73c | 879.62$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Ducks | 26c | 841.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks | 28c | 777.07$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.45 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…82d5backed Ducks | 26c | 773$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Ducks | 42c | 723.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.54 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 19c | 682.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.17 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…ddc8backed Oilers | 74c | 668$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Ducks | 23c | 663.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.04 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 34c | 502.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Oilers | 75c | 500.38$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Oilers | 74c | 392.77$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Oilers | 67c | 364.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Ducks | 25c | 312.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Oilers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Ducks | 28c | 280.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Oilers | 73c | 272.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 25c | 257.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ducks | 26c | 256.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 10c | 254.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Oilers | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 26c | 245.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ducks | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Oilers | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Ducks | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Oilers | 74c | 160.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Ducks | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Oilers | 74c | 144.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Ducks | 7c | 141.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 33c | 103.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Oilers | 77c | 100.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Oilers | 75c | 98.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 71c | 94.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Ducks | 14c | 93.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Ducks | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ducks | 26c | 90.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Oilers | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Ducks | 42c | 72.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Oilers | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Oilers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Oilers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…bc13backed Oilers | 70c | 63.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…9e74backed Oilers | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…d531backed Ducks | 25c | 52.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Oilers | 74c | 51.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Ducks | 26c | 49.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Oilers | 59c | 41.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Oilers | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…547fbacked Oilers | 69c | 35.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…2d58backed Oilers | 74c | 31.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…c4c8backed Oilers | 74c | 31.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e0…ec15backed Oilers | 74c | 31.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…815ebacked Oilers | 74c | 30.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…a0debacked Oilers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…fafabacked Oilers | 74c | 30.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…8cdabacked Oilers | 73c | 30.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Ducks | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Oilers | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…7719backed Oilers | 73c | 29.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…d61bbacked Oilers | 75c | 28.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…d7f2backed Oilers | 73c | 28.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…f3e5backed Oilers | 74c | 28.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…3ad1backed Oilers | 75c | 27.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…726cbacked Oilers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…405dbacked Oilers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…421dbacked Oilers | 74c | 26.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…50adbacked Oilers | 75c | 26.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…aaa3backed Oilers | 74c | 25.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…1153backed Oilers | 74c | 25.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…4346backed Oilers | 74c | 25.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…aba1backed Oilers | 73c | 24.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6290…cfd4backed Oilers | 74c | 24.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…26d0backed Oilers | 74c | 23.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…6fcdbacked Oilers | 74c | 23.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…5c86backed Oilers | 74c | 23.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…9446backed Oilers | 74c | 22.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ed…9838backed Oilers | 74c | 22.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc150…22a9backed Oilers | 74c | 22.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…089ebacked Oilers | 73c | 22.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4806…dc2ebacked Oilers | 71c | 21.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e2…2b44backed Oilers | 74c | 21.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…49cbbacked Oilers | 75c | 21.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…68d6backed Oilers | 74c | 20.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…b079backed Oilers | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…b761backed Oilers | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Oilers | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Oilers | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…21efbacked Oilers | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.