TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25f7…9e74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.35
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.68
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2024, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Sabres vs. Bluesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+42.5%+$6.37
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 6 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Rakhmonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+34.2%+$15.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+37%+$6.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+35%+$15.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.