UFC · resolved market
Pantoja vs. Asakura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a97440500f43dacf28bb108b2e49aa159bca2bd4ad6de2d5f7d5c2c05920b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pantojaof Pantoja, Asakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5978…5e50backed Pantoja | 69c | 74,847$51,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,393.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Asakura | 31c | 65,096$20,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,084.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Asakura | 30c | 48,000$14,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,469.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…6b1fbacked Asakura | 31c | 31,756$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Pantoja | 69c | 30,132$20,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,269.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Asakura | 33c | 15,515$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Pantoja | 70c | 15,502$10,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Pantoja | 67c | 10,657$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.29 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…a1fcbacked Pantoja | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…302bbacked Pantoja | 70c | 9,080$6,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Pantoja | 69c | 7,029$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Asakura | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Pantoja | 68c | 5,760$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.11 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Asakura | 32c | 5,172$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.45 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pantoja | 69c | 5,047$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.25 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Pantoja | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…f5cebacked Asakura | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Pantoja | 70c | 4,641$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.28 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Asakura | 31c | 4,000$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Asakura | 30c | 3,996$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.74 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pantoja | 70c | 3,808$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.49 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Pantoja | 70c | 3,697$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.16 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pantoja | 69c | 3,557$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.71 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Asakura | 30c | 3,439$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.91 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…334bbacked Pantoja | 68c | 3,235$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…6b23backed Pantoja | 72c | 3,082$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Pantoja | 66c | 2,945$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.06 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…f5a5backed Asakura | 34c | 2,925$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Asakura | 29c | 2,196$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.47 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…2040backed Asakura | 31c | 2,135$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pantoja | 69c | 1,949$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.24 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…fb72backed Asakura | 31c | 1,601$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Pantoja | 65c | 1,576$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…2f94backed Pantoja | 71c | 1,549$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Pantoja | 67c | 1,500$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Asakura | 33c | 1,481$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pantoja | 66c | 1,475$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Pantoja | 68c | 1,446$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Asakura | 24c | 1,429$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…8647backed Asakura | 34c | 1,351$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Asakura | 32c | 1,332$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…2362backed Asakura | 31c | 1,232$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa714…d689backed Asakura | 32c | 1,197$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Asakura | 32c | 1,165$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Asakura | 26c | 1,073$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…5272backed Pantoja | 70c | 1,046$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…7795backed Pantoja | 71c | 1,035$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0566…f2c8backed Pantoja | 61c | 1,031$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Pantoja | 70c | 1,010$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Asakura | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pantoja | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Pantoja | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Pantoja | 68c | 971.3$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…d1d3backed Pantoja | 66c | 946.69$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Asakura | 31c | 888$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Asakura | 35c | 854.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Pantoja | 69c | 778.37$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pantoja | 69c | 729.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…7889backed Pantoja | 69c | 699.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…7a33backed Asakura | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Asakura | 32c | 664.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…325fbacked Asakura | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Asakura | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…7d19backed Asakura | 32c | 616.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…73a9backed Pantoja | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Pantoja | 71c | 598.63$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Pantoja | 72c | 583.72$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pantoja | 66c | 575.02$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…774abacked Asakura | 32c | 553.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…e635backed Asakura | 34c | 516.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…695fbacked Asakura | 32c | 502.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Pantoja | 67c | 500.94$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Asakura | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pantoja | 68c | 441.18$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Pantoja | 69c | 432.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…906fbacked Pantoja | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Asakura | 30c | 399.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Asakura | 32c | 399.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…88d2backed Pantoja | 71c | 389.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Asakura | 33c | 356.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…cdd1backed Asakura | 34c | 355.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a11…2f3abacked Asakura | 34c | 323.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6765backed Pantoja | 70c | 323$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Asakura | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Pantoja | 70c | 301$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Pantoja | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Asakura | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…c66fbacked Pantoja | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…a635backed Pantoja | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Asakura | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Pantoja | 70c | 299.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…1205backed Pantoja | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Pantoja | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Asakura | 30c | 293.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Asakura | 34c | 290.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…75e6backed Asakura | 33c | 289.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Pantoja | 70c | 286.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Pantoja | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pantoja | 68c | 279.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Pantoja | 72c | 278.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pantoja vs. Asakurathis page
- Gane vs. VolkovGane won
- Landwehr vs. ChoiChoi won
- Mitchell vs. GracieMitchell won
- Rakhmonov vs. GarryRakhmonov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.