UFC · resolved market
Rakhmonov vs. Garry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd472c97756692778cdf0dc0a10477b4eda8d6c7824c33c2ac11c41377a3771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rakhmonovof Rakhmonov, Garry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Garry | 25c | 56,227$14,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,036.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Rakhmonov | 75c | 42,286$31,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,564.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 10,898$8,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…a1fcbacked Rakhmonov | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Garry | 26c | 8,547$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.49 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…f5cebacked Garry | 24c | 8,220$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Garry | 20c | 6,939$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.48 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 6,912$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 6,493$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Garry | 22c | 5,713$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.14 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Garry | 23c | 5,489$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Garry | 23c | 5,400$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Garry | 22c | 5,177$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.85 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…ca60backed Garry | 1c | 5,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Garry | 23c | 5,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Garry | 24c | 4,985$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Garry | 22c | 4,900$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.45 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Rakhmonov | 78c | 4,898$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.21 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 4,820$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rakhmonov | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Garry | 24c | 4,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rakhmonov | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Rakhmonov | 79c | 3,924$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.17 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Garry | 23c | 3,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Rakhmonov | 76c | 3,470$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Rakhmonov | 77c | 3,368$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.4 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked Rakhmonov | 75c | 3,357$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Rakhmonov | 75c | 3,164$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Garry | 22c | 3,161$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.32 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Garry | 65c | 3,062$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Rakhmonov | 79c | 3,054$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Rakhmonov | 75c | 3,016$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Garry | 21c | 2,875$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Rakhmonov | 75c | 2,866$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 2,732$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rakhmonov | 76c | 2,629$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.36 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…73c8backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 2,572$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…5e50backed Garry | 23c | 2,481$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…e635backed Garry | 24c | 2,368$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Rakhmonov | 76c | 2,133$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Garry | 19c | 2,123$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.82 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Garry | 23c | 1,979$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.26 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Garry | 21c | 1,934$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…7d84backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 1,914$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Garry | 24c | 1,675$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Garry | 22c | 1,451$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.61 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Garry | 21c | 1,396$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…19febacked Rakhmonov | 78c | 1,375$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rakhmonov | 73c | 1,346$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rakhmonov | 75c | 1,340$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Rakhmonov | 77c | 1,323$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Garry | 24c | 1,245$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Rakhmonov | 76c | 1,173$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Rakhmonov | 76c | 1,089$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…463bbacked Garry | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Garry | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Rakhmonov | 28c | 988.36$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.54 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…8647backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 841.65$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Garry | 25c | 804.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 750$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 660$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…03efbacked Rakhmonov | 76c | 659.5$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rakhmonov | 78c | 653.89$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…797abacked Rakhmonov | 77c | 648.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…6770backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 647.6$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…6d92backed Rakhmonov | 80c | 638.71$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Garry | 24c | 623.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…97d8backed Garry | 22c | 619.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…ca95backed Garry | 21c | 614.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…7129backed Garry | 24c | 604.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Rakhmonov | 75c | 601.67$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Garry | 25c | 595.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…cdb3backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 579.65$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…5d4abacked Garry | 22c | 562.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Garry | 25c | 560.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…a638backed Garry | 25c | 533.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…fbddbacked Garry | 24c | 532.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Garry | 24c | 510$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Garry | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Garry | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Garry | 24c | 499.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…3d80backed Rakhmonov | 77c | 463.06$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cb…6603backed Rakhmonov | 75c | 453.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…0dfbbacked Rakhmonov | 75c | 437.77$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Garry | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…f564backed Garry | 24c | 432.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…7d19backed Garry | 24c | 417.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Garry | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 409.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…6143backed Rakhmonov | 76c | 405$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…49b7backed Rakhmonov | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…5cc6backed Garry | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…a1f6backed Garry | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Garry | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Garry | 21c | 399.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Garry | 19c | 398.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Rakhmonov | 79c | 397.45$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…d1d3backed Rakhmonov | 80c | 393.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Rakhmonov | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…8f7bbacked Garry | 23c | 354.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rakhmonov vs. Garrythis page
- Gane vs. VolkovGane won
- Landwehr vs. ChoiChoi won
- Mitchell vs. GracieMitchell won
- Pantoja vs. AsakuraPantoja won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.