UFC · resolved market
Gane vs. Volkov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb492d6f35f567d328484a7c88b3fd61cd076a6fe0490669b0cb6804ec2e35779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ganeof Gane, Volkov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3291…e502backed Gane | 73c | 40,247$29,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,932.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Volkov | 37c | 14,430$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Volkov | 14c | 13,489$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Volkov | 33c | 12,323$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.04 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Gane | 77c | 10,461$8,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Volkov | 25c | 6,880$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Gane | 76c | 6,798$5,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.55 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…6b23backed Volkov | 25c | 6,075$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Gane | 75c | 6,035$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Gane | 77c | 5,370$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Volkov | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Volkov | 22c | 4,360$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.62 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Volkov | 24c | 4,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Volkov | 23c | 4,045$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.44 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Volkov | 35c | 3,987$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.17 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Gane | 76c | 3,646$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Volkov | 23c | 3,278$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Volkov | 37c | 3,252$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.24 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Volkov | 61c | 2,398$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.43 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Volkov | 22c | 2,112$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Volkov | 30c | 2,030$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Volkov | 63c | 2,000$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.4 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Volkov | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6964backed Volkov | 24c | 1,938$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Gane | 72c | 1,933$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Gane | 72c | 1,657$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Gane | 77c | 1,655$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.19 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Gane | 66c | 1,600$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Volkov | 55c | 1,383$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.43 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Volkov | 24c | 1,221$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Volkov | 71c | 1,206$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.92 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Gane | 77c | 1,141$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gane | 64c | 1,109$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.71 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Volkov | 51c | 1,103$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Volkov | 25c | 1,100$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Volkov | 34c | 1,060$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Volkov | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Volkov | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Gane | 73c | 964.67$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Volkov | 22c | 892.19$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Gane | 77c | 799.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…f4abbacked Volkov | 27c | 755.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…b11bbacked Volkov | 28c | 745.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…a691backed Gane | 73c | 699.71$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…1214backed Gane | 75c | 660$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Gane | 71c | 606.23$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739e…00fcbacked Volkov | 24c | 599.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…45bcbacked Volkov | 27c | 544.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Volkov | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…2fcabacked Gane | 77c | 538.25$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Gane | 75c | 500.02$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Gane | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Volkov | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Volkov | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Gane | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Volkov | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Gane | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…ca8abacked Volkov | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Gane | 76c | 499.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…1478backed Volkov | 33c | 436.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Gane | 76c | 417.05$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Gane | 77c | 413.61$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Volkov | 26c | 410.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Volkov | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Volkov | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Gane | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Volkov | 27c | 375.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Gane | 47c | 333$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Gane | 78c | 325$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…2f94backed Gane | 76c | 315.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Volkov | 33c | 307.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Volkov | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Gane | 68c | 293.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…22c4backed Volkov | 24c | 290$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…fdefbacked Gane | 75c | 262.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9b…331dbacked Volkov | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Gane | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…6112backed Gane | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Gane | 78c | 257.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Gane | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Volkov | 27c | 255.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…862fbacked Gane | 59c | 215.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Gane | 76c | 210.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Volkov | 23c | 210$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…9749backed Volkov | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Gane | 78c | 206.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Volkov | 25c | 203.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Volkov | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…89dbbacked Volkov | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…66f2backed Volkov | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Gane | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Volkov | 27c | 186.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Volkov | 27c | 183.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…211fbacked Volkov | 28c | 179.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…3ef3backed Volkov | 55c | 174.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…88d2backed Volkov | 40c | 171.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Gane | 78c | 168.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Volkov | 28c | 159.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Volkov | 23c | 145.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…6fc2backed Gane | 71c | 140.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gane vs. Volkovthis page
- Landwehr vs. ChoiChoi won
- Mitchell vs. GracieMitchell won
- Pantoja vs. AsakuraPantoja won
- Rakhmonov vs. GarryRakhmonov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.