TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68bb…812c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Salzburg win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Monterrey beat Urawa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will River Plate beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+162.1%+$324.22
Will Fluminense vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+158.6%+$317.13
Will Flamengo beat Esperance Sportive?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$68.28
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$140.96
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+274.1%+$548.22
Will Stade Brestois beat Sturm Graz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$52
Will Sturm Graz beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will the match between Stade Brestois vs. Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Manchester City vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+369.1%+$184.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Kattar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$174.62
UFC Fight Night: Will Usman win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$25.19
UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. Petroskibacked Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.64
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Aldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$109.32
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$100
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$117.72
Shahbazyan vs. Meerschaertbacked Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United beat Aston Villa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle beat Everton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City beat Fulham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will the match between Brentford and Wolverhampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Liverpool beat Brentford?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo beat Sevilla?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$101.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.