UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Royval vs. Van
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa489a2cf05c78be1aac7d2ca7a5df716719f4a73f55a6df5ff8b54094ba57cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanof Royval, Van
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $817,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $859,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Van | 55c | 328,261$179,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,429.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Royval | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,500 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Royval | 48c | 118,829$56,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,672.55 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Royval | 45c | 93,888$42,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,050.83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Royval | 47c | 55,250$25,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,805.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Van | 52c | 51,345$26,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,522.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Royval | 46c | 25,743$11,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,860.19 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Van | 52c | 23,808$12,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,376.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Van | 53c | 21,604$11,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,153.77 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Van | 52c | 21,377$11,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,247.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Van | 53c | 17,652$9,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Van | 51c | 16,649$8,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,079.41 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Van | 53c | 16,043$8,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,484.52 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Van | 52c | 15,012$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Van | 53c | 13,250$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.49 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royval | 47c | 12,973$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Van | 53c | 10,521$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Van | 62c | 10,003$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.06 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Royval | 20c | 9,494$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Van | 62c | 8,672$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.4 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Van | 52c | 8,000$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Van | 53c | 7,559$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.7 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Royval | 43c | 7,400$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.72 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royval | 33c | 6,454$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.28 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Van | 54c | 6,439$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Van | 53c | 6,011$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Van | 52c | 4,193$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Royval | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Royval | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Van | 53c | 3,832$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.6 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Van | 54c | 3,648$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Royval | 45c | 3,300$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royval | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Van | 60c | 2,936$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.56 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Van | 52c | 2,683$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royval | 49c | 2,615$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.26 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Royval | 41c | 2,412$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.95 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Van | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Royval | 46c | 2,154$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Royval | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Royval | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…b9bbbacked Van | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Van | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.81 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Van | 52c | 1,853$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.94 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Van | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Van | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Van | 53c | 1,826$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.23 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Royval | 48c | 1,681$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.91 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Royval | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royval | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Royval | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Royval | 49c | 1,500$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royval | 48c | 1,492$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Van | 54c | 1,399$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Royval | 41c | 1,333$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.85 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Royval | 45c | 1,248$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.17 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Royval | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Royval | 36c | 1,089$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.48 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royval | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Royval | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Van | 53c | 929$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Van | 55c | 914.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Van | 56c | 900.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…a5c2backed Royval | 47c | 843.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Royval | 47c | 820.35$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royval | 33c | 802.7$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Royval | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Royval | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Van | 53c | 799.46$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.73 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Royval | 48c | 788.96$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Van | 65c | 756.92$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…b06ebacked Royval | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Royval | 46c | 720$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.3 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Royval | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…b77cbacked Van | 53c | 660.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Royval | 48c | 653.28$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.7 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Royval | 38c | 633$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Royval | 48c | 619.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Van | 53c | 600.69$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…a7febacked Royval | 38c | 584.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…3a0ebacked Van | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Van | 53c | 575$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Van | 53c | 565.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Royval | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Van | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Van | 75c | 530.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Van | 65c | 519.04$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Van | 53c | 500$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…ce44backed Royval | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Royval | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Van | 75c | 493.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d88…8d8ebacked Van | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Royval | 35c | 489.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Royval | 46c | 480.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Van | 53c | 468.09$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Van | 54c | 449.34$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.34 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…b7d8backed Royval | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royval | 46c | 420.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…6c38backed Royval | 39c | 418.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…6192backed Royval | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanthis page
- UFC 317: Amil vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- UFC 317: Araujo vs. CortezCortez won
- UFC 317: Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush won
- UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
- UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
- UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
- UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja won
- UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
- UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaTalbott won
- UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.