UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad115c3e2e2074b55f84c7b96d4cc1cb632e533779669811d0e49374b14172aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dariushof Dariush, Moicano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,019,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,019,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Moicano | 51c | 663,007$335,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335,683.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Dariush | 52c | 201,005$105,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,477.53 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dariush | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Dariush | 51c | 73,902$37,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,212.03 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Dariush | 50c | 55,555$27,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,777.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Dariush | 50c | 45,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,599.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Moicano | 50c | 39,530$19,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,837.13 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dariush | 50c | 34,000$17,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,860 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dariush | 48c | 28,998$14,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,957.78 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Moicano | 50c | 26,864$13,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,438.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dariush | 50c | 20,000$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Dariush | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Dariush | 43c | 17,907$7,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,237.8 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dariush | 49c | 17,487$8,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,929.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dariush | 49c | 14,200$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,284 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Dariush | 49c | 13,635$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.73 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Moicano | 50c | 13,290$6,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,645 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Dariush | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Moicano | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Dariush | 49c | 9,928$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.24 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Moicano | 49c | 8,396$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.98 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dariush | 63c | 8,364$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Moicano | 50c | 7,134$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.77 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dariush | 57c | 6,942$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.4 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Moicano | 48c | 5,997$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.49 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbd…6355backed Moicano | 53c | 5,293$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dariush | 49c | 4,328$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Moicano | 52c | 4,261$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.64 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Dariush | 49c | 4,103$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Dariush | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Dariush | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Moicano | 50c | 3,974$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Dariush | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Dariush | 47c | 3,690$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.27 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Dariush | 50c | 3,535$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.6 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Dariush | 66c | 3,476$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.79 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Moicano | 50c | 3,440$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dariush | 50c | 3,083$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.7 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Dariush | 49c | 3,032$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dariush | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dariush | 66c | 2,880$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.9 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Dariush | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Moicano | 59c | 2,500$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Moicano | 51c | 2,441$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Dariush | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Dariush | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dariush | 48c | 2,169$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.84 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Dariush | 41c | 2,072$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Moicano | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Moicano | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…b9bbbacked Moicano | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Moicano | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Moicano | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Dariush | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Dariush | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Dariush | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Dariush | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…ec2abacked Moicano | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…0fd1backed Moicano | 51c | 1,949$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Dariush | 51c | 1,928$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Moicano | 12c | 1,859$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dariush | 51c | 1,738$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.24 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Moicano | 52c | 1,666$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.32 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Moicano | 55c | 1,567$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.34 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dariush | 49c | 1,558$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.44 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Moicano | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dariush | 49c | 1,472$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.42 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Dariush | 69c | 1,469$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.27 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Dariush | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Moicano | 46c | 1,302$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.83 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dariush | 49c | 1,302$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.36 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dariush | 51c | 1,292$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.19 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Moicano | 55c | 1,231$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Moicano | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Moicano | 53c | 1,107$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.51 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Moicano | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Dariush | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Dariush | 48c | 999.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Moicano | 13c | 960.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Dariush | 48c | 902.55$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.38 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Dariush | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Moicano | 51c | 880$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Moicano | 50c | 878$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Moicano | 46c | 825$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dariush | 48c | 815.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.55 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dariush | 48c | 799.97$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.98 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…1b31backed Moicano | 5c | 740$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Moicano | 52c | 726.92$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Moicano | 67c | 718.1$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Moicano | 50c | 699.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Moicano | 52c | 690.33$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Dariush | 47c | 649.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Moicano | 37c | 635.68$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Dariush | 66c | 609.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…fb35backed Moicano | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Dariush | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Dariush | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Dariush | 63c | 578.71$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Dariush | 51c | 568.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.59 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Moicano | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanothis page
- UFC 317: Amil vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- UFC 317: Araujo vs. CortezCortez won
- UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
- UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
- UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
- UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja won
- UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
- UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan won
- UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaTalbott won
- UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.