UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e17cacc951efb30614a2da2635db3e993317887fd7794e4ba4aa9e728c03e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pantojaof Pantoja, Kara-France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $614,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Kara-France | 30c | 170,934$50,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,934.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Pantoja | 70c | 70,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pantoja | 70c | 35,370$24,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.68 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Kara-France | 31c | 34,272$10,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,476.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pantoja | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Pantoja | 70c | 23,200$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.95 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Kara-France | 31c | 22,222$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Kara-France | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kara-France | 31c | 17,963$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Kara-France | 30c | 16,997$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Pantoja | 69c | 16,306$11,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pantoja | 74c | 15,500$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Kara-France | 31c | 15,100$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.81 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Pantoja | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3150backed Pantoja | 69c | 14,453$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pantoja | 68c | 10,860$7,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.69 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Kara-France | 32c | 10,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.74 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Pantoja | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Kara-France | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pantoja | 74c | 9,973$7,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Pantoja | 70c | 8,328$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.68 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Pantoja | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Pantoja | 70c | 6,357$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.63 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kara-France | 29c | 5,779$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.93 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pantoja | 70c | 5,503$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…424dbacked Pantoja | 70c | 5,354$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kara-France | 29c | 5,260$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.39 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Kara-France | 30c | 5,164$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.26 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Pantoja | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pantoja | 68c | 4,360$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.33 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pantoja | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Pantoja | 68c | 4,120$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pantoja | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Kara-France | 29c | 3,601$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.29 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Pantoja | 71c | 3,380$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pantoja | 70c | 3,180$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.08 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kara-France | 33c | 3,100$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.02 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kara-France | 29c | 2,837$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.59 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Pantoja | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pantoja | 70c | 2,759$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.71 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Kara-France | 33c | 2,712$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.88 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Pantoja | 71c | 2,562$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Pantoja | 67c | 2,500$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kara-France | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kara-France | 30c | 2,324$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Pantoja | 68c | 2,289$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.81 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Pantoja | 71c | 2,087$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kara-France | 30c | 1,993$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kara-France | 16c | 1,860$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Kara-France | 12c | 1,841$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Pantoja | 73c | 1,721$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pantoja | 68c | 1,650$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kara-France | 31c | 1,561$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.76 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Pantoja | 68c | 1,559$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.13 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kara-France | 18c | 1,549$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Kara-France | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kara-France | 30c | 1,515$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.55 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…b9bbbacked Pantoja | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Pantoja | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Pantoja | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Pantoja | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…1f42backed Pantoja | 71c | 1,406$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Pantoja | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Kara-France | 30c | 1,371$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.3 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kara-France | 32c | 1,330$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.92 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kara-France | 10c | 1,243$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pantoja | 71c | 1,100$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Pantoja | 68c | 1,100$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Kara-France | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Kara-France | 30c | 1,064$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kara-France | 31c | 1,063$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Pantoja | 71c | 1,018$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Kara-France | 31c | 1,018$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…551fbacked Pantoja | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Pantoja | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Kara-France | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…dc1abacked Kara-France | 12c | 1,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pantoja | 79c | 867.67$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Pantoja | 71c | 859.58$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Kara-France | 30c | 856.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Pantoja | 71c | 739.44$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Pantoja | 69c | 724.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…fd78backed Pantoja | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Pantoja | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…1b36backed Kara-France | 32c | 606.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Pantoja | 69c | 604.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Kara-France | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Pantoja | 74c | 589.29$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Pantoja | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed Pantoja | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Pantoja | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kara-France | 11c | 551.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7d…091bbacked Kara-France | 32c | 532.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Kara-France | 13c | 515.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Pantoja | 70c | 507.51$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kara-France | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kara-France | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…4881backed Pantoja | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Kara-France | 32c | 487$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Pantoja | 69c | 486.85$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francethis page
- UFC 317: Amil vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- UFC 317: Araujo vs. CortezCortez won
- UFC 317: Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush won
- UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
- UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
- UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
- UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
- UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan won
- UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaTalbott won
- UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.